National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 092119
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
319 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2010

.DISCUSSION...
SUN MAKING A RARE APPEARANCE TODAY OVER MUCH OF THE AREA BUT
TEMPERATURES REMAINING ON THE CHILLY SIDE. STRATOCU DECK
REMAINING ON BACK SIDE OF DEPARTING LOW CONTINUES TO PRODUCE VERY
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NW ARKANSAS. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES EAST SKIES
SHOULD BEGIN TO CLEAR WITH DIMINISHING WINDS COURTESY OF SFC HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH TEMPS AGAIN APPROACHING SINGLE
DIGITS OVER SNOW COVERED AREAS. ALSO MAY SEE PATCHY FOG IN THESE
AREAS BUT AT THIS TIME IT DOES NOT LOOK WIDESPREAD.

ATTENTION WILL THEN TURN TO YET ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WHICH
IS CURRENTLY JUST OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. MODELS CONTINUE TO
FAVOR A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK WITH THIS SYSTEM WHICH WILL PLACE
MAIN IMPACTS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY WITH PRECIP
LIKELY DEVELOPING NEAR THE RED RIVER BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
FORECAST THERMAL PROFILES MARGINAL DURING THE DAY BUT ENOUGH
COOLING TO TAKE PLACE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR A CHANGE TO SNOW IN ALL
AREAS. SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR POSSIBLE SOUTH OF I-40.

ONCE THIS SYSTEM DEPARTS FRIDAY A MODEST WARM UP WILL OCCUR FOR
SATURDAY BEFORE A STRONG NORTHERN BRANCH SHORTWAVE DIVES INTO THE
MIDWEST AND BRINGS ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER AIR SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM
DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE MUCH OF A PRECIP PRODUCER THIS FAR WEST BUT
HAVE INCLUDED A MENTION OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS EASTERN AREAS. MAIN
EFFECT WILL BE COLD AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. SFC HIGH WILL MOVE SOUTH RATHER
QUICKLY ALLOWING TEMPS TO REBOUND MORE SIGNIFICANTLY...LIKELY
ABOVE NORMAL FOR A DAY OR TWO...FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF
NEXT WEEK.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   18  35  26  42 /   0  10  10  10
FSM   17  37  24  41 /   0   0  10  10
MLC   19  38  28  38 /   0  10  10  30
BVO   13  34  22  42 /   0  10  10  10
FYV   10  34  21  40 /   0   0  10  10
BYV   12  33  18  38 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   17  36  23  40 /   0  10  10  10
MIO   17  34  22  42 /   0   0  10  10
F10   18  37  25  40 /   0  10  10  20
HHW   22  39  30  38 /   0  10  10  60

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....14

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