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000
FXUS64 KTSA 090840
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
340 AM CDT SUN MAR 9 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOCALLY DENSE FOG ONGOING ACROSS FAR NE OK WILL DIMINISH BY MID
MORNING...WHILE LOW CLOUDS SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS SE
OK/WESTERN AR. RESULT WILL BE A NOTICEABLE IMPROVEMENT IN WEATHER
CONDITIONS COMPARED TO SATURDAY. DATA CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MUCH
WARMER TEMPS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
INCREASING ON MONDAY ESPECIALLY WITH ANY LOCALLY HIGHER WIND
SPEEDS.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...AND THERE COULD BE A ZONE OF COMPRESSIONAL WARMING
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHERE TEMPS WARM WELL ABOVE FORECAST VALUES.
POST FRONTAL NORTHERLY WINDS LOOK TO BE STRONG WITH A PERIOD OF
WIND ADVISORY GUSTS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL BRING SHARPLY COOLER TEMPS
INTO THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY. PRECIP CHANCES CONTINUE TO LOOK
HIGHEST FOR FAR NE OK / NW AR ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. FOR NOW KEPT THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST...HOWEVER THERE
MAY BE A NARROW ZONE OF SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO WARRANT A
MENTION IN LATER FORECASTS.

A QUICK RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS IS EXPECTED FOR LATE WEEK
WITH THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED PRECIP CHANCES ARRIVING
LATE NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   57  38  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   57  37  73  46 /  10   0   0  10
MLC   56  37  75  53 /  10   0   0  10
BVO   59  29  77  41 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   56  30  72  45 /  10   0   0   0
BYV   55  37  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   56  36  74  49 /  10   0   0   0
MIO   58  35  72  47 /   0   0   0   0
F10   58  37  75  51 /  10   0   0   0
HHW   54  38  73  51 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07