Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 271109
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
609 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016

...12Z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 226 AM CDT Sat Aug 27 2016

High moisture content in the atmosphere will continue today. PW
values range from 1.5 to 1.8 inches which is very moist. Upper air
soundings indicate skinny CAPE and instability but a lot of
moisture. There is still stalled out weak frontal boundary just
north of our area which is currently parallel to the mid level
flow.

We will see the chance continue for isolated to widely scattered
showers and storms to develop again mainly during the midday
through the afternoon today. Any thunderstorm will be capable of
producing localized heavy downpours along with lightning and
gusty winds. Widespread severe weather is not expected but a
strong storm can`t be ruled out. High temperatures will once again
be in the middle to maybe upper 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 226 AM CDT Sat Aug 27 2016

Southerly moist flow at the surface will continue into early next
week with off and on daily isolated to widely scattered showers
and thunderstorms possible. There will be occasional mid level
disturbances moving across the area. There appears to be a better
chance of scattered convection Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons
with the frontal boundary stalled out right across the area from
west to east. High temperatures will be seasonably average with
highs in the middle to upper 80s and overnight lows in the upper
60s to around 70.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 607 AM CDT Sat Aug 27 2016

VFR should generally prevail today at the terminals. As was the
case on Friday, isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to
develop across the region. Coverage at this point looks to be
rather sparse, so did not include mention in the TAFs at this
time. However, there is an outside chance that a thunderstorm
could affect a terminal site this afternoon. Should that happen, a
drop to IFR is probable.

Any thunderstorm activity should dissipate by early to mid
evening.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Boxell



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