Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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FXUS62 KKEY 281433 CCA
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Key West FL
1033 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024
Windy conditions continue across the Keys this morning with KBYX
radar detecting a few showers over the Straits of Florida, mainly
south of the Lower and Middle Keys. These showers are moving to
the west to northwest near 10 knots. Temperatures along the Island
Chain are in the upper 70s with dew points in the mid to upper
60s. Strong surface high pressure is currently sitting just off
the North Carolina coastline this morning. As a result, marine
platforms around the Keys are observing mainly easterly breezes
near 20 knots with occasional gusts to near 25 knots with Island
Chain communities observing 15 to 20 mph with occasional gusts to
near 30 mph.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
The 12z RAOB from this morning shows a fairly moist profile from
the surface up to 825 mb before drying out above this layer. There
is another moist layer present from approximately 365 mb to 350 mb
which can be on GOES 16 Visible satellite imagery this morning in
the form of some high cirrus streaming from west to east through
the Florida Keys. There is also some very weak veering to the wind
profile with sustained winds of near 25 knots which is leading to
some speed convergence over the Straits which may be partly
responsible for the current ongoing showers. Therefore, the
ongoing forecast remains on track with no changes expected with
this update.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all the Florida Keys
coastal waters through this afternoon. From synopsis, a sprawling
high pressure system centered southeast of New England will
maintain fresh to occasionally strong easterly breezes this
afternoon through tonight. As the high presses south into the
western North Atlantic, breezes will slacken, although
occasionally fresh breezes will continue through the first half of
the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(15Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024
VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF
period. There is a chance for passing showers at either terminal
that could briefly deteriorate conditions to MVFR cigs or vis
today going into this evening. Near surface winds will continue to
be easterly and gusty to near 25 knots.

&&

.CLIMATE...
The Key West International Airport recorded .01 inches of rain
yesterday. This is the first measurable precipitation recorded at
the airport since .55 inches was recorded on April 4th, over three
weeks ago.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  82  74  83  75 /  20  20  10  10
Marathon  83  74  85  75 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for
     GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...MJV
Aviation/Nowcasts....AP

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