Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 040432
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1132 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)

It was another warm and dry day over extreme southeast Kansas and
the Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures warmed into the upper 80s and
lower 90s, under sunny skies and southerly breezes.

Summertime high pressure was established across much of the
nation`s mid section keeping conditions rather calm.

For tonight, humid and warm weather is expected with lows creeping
into the upper 60s to lower 70s.

For Friday, not much changes from today with highs in the upper
80s to lower 90s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)

A hot weekend is on tap for the Ozarks. With little to no
precipitation chances, afternoon highs will warm into the lower
90s in nearly all locations. With dew points creeping into the
upper 60s, heat indices will increase into the middle 90s both
Saturday and Sunday.

A major pattern change will take shape for next work week,
creating active weather in terms of thunderstorm chances.

The summertime high breaks down followed by a frontal system that
will stall out across middle America. This feature will be a focus
for thunderstorms much of the week, and could be positioned across
southern or central Missouri Monday evening through Wednesday.

With increased shear, there is a shot for a couple rounds of
strong to severe storms during this Monday evening through
Wednesday time window.

Both the GFS and the ECMWF blow the front south of the Ozarks for
next Thursday and beyond, bringing cooler temperatures and drier
air.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1129 PM CDT THU SEP 03 2015

Upper level ridge in firm control across the area which has kept
the main weather and aviation hazards away from the region
recently. Only fly in ointment late tonight towards morning may be
some MVFR visibilities. Dew points have increased into the upper
60s. We will have a fairly light wind overnight with a clear sky.
Went prevailing 4 miles at BBG and a tempo group at both SGF/JLN
for a few hours towards sunrise.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Lindenberg



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