Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 231709

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1209 PM CDT Sun Oct 23 2016

...Update to Aviation for 18Z TAFs...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 255 AM CDT Sun Oct 23 2016

We are seeing a warmer start this morning than the last couple
around the Ozarks. Temperatures ranged from as warm as the lower
60s out in Pittsburg, KS to 51 in Osage Beach at the time of
writing this discussion.

A warm southerly flow has taken shape across the region and
should continue to bring warmer air into the region. Sky
conditions will be mostly clear again today/tonight as a ridge of
high pressure remains in control of our weather. Winds may pick
up just a tad this afternoon. Other than that, not much to write
home about regarding the weather in the short term.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 255 AM CDT Sun Oct 23 2016

The upper level ridge will continue to hold firm over our region
on Monday and at least the first part of Tuesday. An upper
level disturbance and weak cold frontal boundary will push into
the region by early Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible late Tuesday through Wednesday afternoon/evening.

The cold frontal boundary will not do much to temperatures as
much of the cooler weather will push across the Great Lakes
region and slide southeast from there. Still, we`ll likely see
slightly cooler/drier conditions through early Friday before
another upper ridge builds into the area warming us up once again
by early next weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1208 PM CDT Sun Oct 23 2016

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFs:VFR conditions will occur
across the region this afternoon through Monday. Winds will be out
of the southwest this afternoon, becoming light a variable this
evening and tonight.




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