Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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931
FXUS63 KSGF 231742
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1142 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

...18Z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 246 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

The tricky part of the forecast for today will be the cloud cover
and clearing line. The RAP 925 mb RH seems to have a good handle
of the cloud cover. Will mention that most areas should have
clearing by this afternoon except the far eastern Ozarks up to
central Missouri may hold on to the clouds the longest today.
Temperatures will be seasonable today in the middle to upper 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 246 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

A stronger upper level system will be moving out across the
Central and Northern Plains tomorrow. A surface low pressure will
deepen tomorrow afternoon across northern Kansas into southeast
Nebraska. The pressure gradient will develop windy conditions
across the area Tuesday afternoon. Southerly winds may gusts up to
40 mph. High temperatures will warm into the middle to upper 60s.
Will need to monitor trends on grassland fire weather conditions
for Tuesday afternoon. With warm, gusty weather along with lower
humidity values and dormant vegetation...could see an elevated
grassland fire risk Tuesday afternoon.

A strong cold front will move through the area on Wednesday and
bring more seasonable like temperatures back for the end of the
week. There are hints with the Canadian and GFS of maybe a slight
chance for some isolated light sprinkles or possibly flurries
Wednesday evening across portions of the Ozarks or central
Missouri. No measurable precip or impacts are expected but worth
a mention of the possibility.

The overall weather pattern changes into trough across the
eastern U.S. and an upper level ridge across the West Coast.
Overall expect seasonable cooler weather for end of week and next
week with mostly dry weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1141 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Stratus will continue to slowly clear from southwest to northeast
this afternoon, with conditions becoming VFR with time. Winds will
be fairly light from the north today, becoming light and variable
tonight. Gustier south winds are then expected on Tuesday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Boxell



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