Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 011749

1249 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 252 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

A cool and cloudy morning is underway across the region, as the area
largely remains under the influence of an upper low slowly spinning
east across east central Arkansas.  This upper low should finally
move far enough east of the area by this afternoon to allow for
partial clearing.   Owning to cool air aloft and the partial cloud
cover, temperatures will remain some 5 to 10 degrees below average,
with highs in upper 60s to mid 70s.  The warmer readings can be
expected over southeastern Kansas and western Missouri, where the
opportunity for sunshine will be higher.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 252 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

Easterly flow will remain in place at the surface for the next
couple of days, as ridging builds aloft and surface high pressure
remains anchored across the Great Lakes.  Temperatures will recover
a few degrees each day starting Wednesday, with low to mid 80s
expected by the end of the workweek.  With surface winds coming from
the east, dewpoints are expected to stay relatively comfortable
(especially by June standards), as readings remain in the 50s and
low 60s.

Winds will become more southerly, and eventually
southwesterly, starting late Wednesday.  Increasingly muggy
conditions will follow, along with increasing chances for
thunderstorms as dewpoints increase to near 70 degrees by Friday.
Thunderstorm chances Wednesday and Thursday will largely be
suppressed by large scale subsidence associated with ridging aloft,
though a couple of storms during the heat of the afternoon can`t be
ruled out.  By Friday into Saturday, however, a couple of shortwaves
will top the ridge and at least try to carve out a modified
northwest flow aloft. Ascent associated with these features, along
with an associated surface front, should result in a decent shot for
convection through at least the first part of the weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

Upper level low pressure across southeastern Missouri will keep
MVFR ceilings established across southern Missouri for much of the
afternoon. Ceilings may rise just enough for VFR conditions from
late this afternoon into this evening. Ceilings will then start to
lower once again later tonight with MVFR becoming increasingly
likely. Some light fog will also be possible by late tonight,
especially around Branson. Winds will remain light through Tuesday
morning and will back around from the northeast to southeast.




LONG TERM...Boxell
AVIATION...Schaumann is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.