Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 050506

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
1106 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 0223 PM CST THU FEB 04 2016

Quiet and dry weather is expected. A sfc ridge of high pressure
will move through tonight and early Friday then shift off to the
east and southeast Friday afternoon. High temperatures should be
a few degrees warmer Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 0223 PM CST THU FEB 04 2016

The main weather impacts will be fire weather at times through
this period and cold/windy weather Mon/Mon night.

A moisture starved shortwave and weak sfc front will move through
the region Fri night with an increase in clouds along with a
chance of sprinkles/flurries for some areas. It will clear from
west to east Saturday. Sunday will remain dry and milder with
southwest winds ahead of the next approaching front. Moderate
fire weather concerns are expected Sunday afternoon, but winds
will likely remain below Red Flag criteria.

A high amplitude upper level pattern with a ridge over along the
west coast of NOAM and a trough in the east will allow cold air to
move south out into the eastern CONUS. Our area will take somewhat
of a glancing blow in terms of the cold air, but it will still be
cloudy, unseasonably cold, and blustery Monday behind a cold
front. We are expecting wind chill values in the single digits
(deg F) Mon night into Tue.

Temperatures will moderate through the midweek period as the cold
air mass moves off to the east. By day 7 (Thu) a return to warmer
than normal temperatures is expected.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1104 PM CST THU FEB 04 2016

Mid/upper level cloud cover starting to push into eastern KS late
this evening in advance of next shortwave. The cloud cover will
increase late tonight over the TAF locations but ceilings will
remain VFR through the period.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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