Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 022324

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
624 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

...00Z Aviation Update...

Issued at 225 PM CDT Mon May 2 2016

Lots of stratus/stratocu remain across the area with several
disturbances embedded within the cyclonic flow aloft across the
region. Measurable rainfall has pushed off to the southeast, more
in line with the surface frontal boundary. The cloud cover has
kept temperatures in the 50s to low 60s across the area.

The main forecast focus for the work week will be with
temperatures and with the next chance of rain as we head into the


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Mon May 2 2016

Cyclonic flow aloft will continue both tonight and Tuesday with
several waves of upper level energy pushing through the area. This
will likely keep a good deal of cloud cover over the area through
the short term period. Temperatures will be on the cool side again
tonight with lows in the low to mid 40s. Highs should climb back
into the mid to upper 60s on Tuesday. Moisture will be limited, so
will keep precipitation chances below 15 percent at this time.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Mon May 2 2016

By Tuesday night, the main shortwave will have pushed through the
area and should start to see clearing. The main upper low will
then track to the southeast across the Ohio valley region. The SGF
CWA should remain in northerly flow aloft with surface high
pressure over the region, so will see some cool nights both
Tuesday and Wednesday night with lows in the 40s. Will start to
see a warmup for the end of the work week as upper level ridging
builds into the area. By Friday, the upper ridge will be overhead
with low level warm advection starting to develop. Temperatures
should start to climb back into the 70s on Thursday and well into
the 70s by Friday.

As we head into the weekend, energy from a large closed low in the
Rockies will start lifting into the area from the southwest and we
will start to see showers and thunderstorms developing over the
area. The best chances of showers and thunderstorms look to be
late in the weekend into early next week as the main shortwave
will begin to push into the region.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 621 PM CDT Mon May 2 2016

Widespread MVFR stratus deck should begin to dissipate with sunset
this evening. By mid to late evening, skies should range from
nearly clear at JLN, to FEW to SCT at SGF and BBG. Later tonight,
fog will be possible where skies start to clear, along with the
potential for stratus building back in at SGF and especially BBG.
IFR potential is very unclear at this time, though BBG should have
the highest probability, and have included a tempo group for 2SM
BR for now. Elsewhere, only took vis down to 3SM, though some
guidance does hint at vis dropping to less than a mile in a few
areas. Will continue to monitor through the evening and amend as

Any fog/stratus will lift by mid morning Tuesday, with light
north winds through the day.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Boxell is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.