Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 050442

1142 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

May see some residual pop-up showers over south central Missouri
through early evening, but otherwise looks like a dry night for
fireworks viewing across the CWA.

May see a little bit of convection over the southwest CWA very
light tonight into Sunday with a shortwave dropping southeast out
of the Plains, but most areas are expected to remain dry through

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

By Sunday night, a strong upper level wave will begin pushing
through the northern into central Plains with a frontal boundary
moving into the upper Mississippi valley into the southern Plains
from northeast to southwest. This front will slowly progress
southeastward on Monday with showers and thunderstorms starting to
push into the northwest CWA and eventually spreading across the
remainder of the area on Monday night. Both the GFS/ECMWF bring in
heavy rain to the area, but the ECMWF continues to paint a bad
picture with continued chances of thunderstorms and heavy rain
through much of the week as the front continues to meander through
the area as a series of shortwaves move through the westerly flow
aloft. PW values are forecast by the GFS to be in the 1.75 to 2.0
in. range throughout the week. With the recent significant
flooding from this week, would anticipate that we would need
another flash flood watch at some point upcoming.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1125 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

Pilots can expect VFR to occasionally MVFR conditions at area
terminals tonight in patchy light fog, haze and smoke. VFR
conditions will be the rule Sunday. Otherwise surface winds will
become more southerly Sunday.




SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Foster is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.