Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 271126
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
626 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 221 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

A highly amplified trough is currently over the Great Lakes Region
down to the Mid Mississippi Valley Region. The Missouri Ozarks is
currently in a chilly weather pattern with a northerly flow in the
upper levels. One short wave is moving through the area this
morning with light to occasionally moderate showers. Dual Pol
Radar is showing some signs that some of these showers are trying
to mix with some wet snow flakes this morning. Temperatures are in
the middle to upper 30s across the area. Any wet snow that mixes
with the rain this morning will not have any impact or accumulate.

The showers will end from northwest to southeast later this
morning. Some sunshine may return this afternoon but temperatures
will be much below average. Another shortwave will move across the
area late tonight into early Saturday morning. This feature may be
a little more robust with precip and temperatures just a touch
colder.

A band of rain showers and snow showers will accompany
this wave tonight with the better potential of a quick shot of
light wet snow across central Missouri into the eastern Ozarks.
Temperatures will be in the lower to middle 30s tonight. The
overall ground will be too warm to support much in the way of any
accumulation. But the snow may briefly fall at a moderate rate
tonight and early Saturday morning which may lead to a light
dusting of snow on grassy areas and elevated surfaces. Otherwise
no impacts are really expected.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 221 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

Rain and show showers will end Saturday morning across the eastern
Ozarks. It will remain chilly out east in the 40s on Saturday and
possibly reach near 60 across southeast Kansas. The pick day for
the weekend will be Sunday as upper level ridging takes place and
heights begin to rise. A southerly wind will help boost
temperatures back into the middle to upper 60s.

A weak front will pass through late Sunday afternoon and evening
with a wind shift and maybe a spotty shower or two. Otherwise
temperatures will not change much behind the front on Monday.
Slight ridging continues early next week into middle of next week
with temperatures more Spring like for the area. Highs will be in
the lower to middle 70s.

The next decent chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms
will be with a front Wednesday night into early Thursday. A zonal
flow for the end of next week will keep the weather pattern
seasonable.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 622 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

Pilots can expect MVFR to locally IFR conditions this morning with
improving flight conditions this afternoon.

Areas of light rain possibly mixed with snow will impact areas
mainly east of the terminal sites this morning.

VFR conditions will unfold this afternoon and persist into this
evening. However cloud cover will again increase tonight with
areas of rain and snow developing late. This could lead another
bout of MVFR conditions late tonight into Saturday morning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Foster





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