Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 262054
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
254 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2014

...Chilly and Tranquil Weather Thanksgiving Day...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 245 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

A vigorous shortwave trough was sliding southeast across Missouri
this afternoon. This system brought a relatively brief period of
light snow this morning. Scattered light rain/snow showers and
sprinkles/flurries had developed this afternoon underneath the
upper level cold core.

Clouds along with the scattered light precipitation will persist
into the late afternoon and perhaps early evening hours primarily
across the eastern Ozarks.

Surface high pressure will build into the Ozarks Thanksgiving day
providing tranquil and chilly weather conditions. Under plenty of
sunshine high temperatures will be 10-15 degrees below normal.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 245 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

The upper pattern will become more zonal as we head into Friday
and Saturday while southerly winds return. This will result in a
substantial warming trend with highs climbing into the 60s by
Sunday.

A dry cold front will sag southward across the region Sunday while
the main belt of westerlies remains to our north. This front will
stall just to our south across Arkansas Sunday night into Monday.
Moisture and warm air advection over top this boundary will bring
an increase in clouds later Sunday into Monday. Some light
precipitation may develop Sunday night into Monday across southern
Missouri. Progged thermal profiles suggest that light freezing
rain would be possible late Sunday night into early Monday
morning. However any precipitation will be very light.

A more substantial chance of precipitation in the form of rain will
develop during the middle and later part of next week as an upper
trough approaches from the west.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1222 PM CST WED NOV 26 2014

Interesting morning as a quick shot of snow was followed
immediately by sunshine and then a resurgence of stratus. Snow is
no longer a concern for the TAF locations as temperatures are well
into the 40s, though MVFR ceilings and sporadic light showers or
sprinkles will affect SGF this afternoon and perhaps BBG late this
afternoon. Stratus will linger into the evening, shift off to the
east overnight. VFR conditions are expected on Thursday. Northwest
winds will be gusty into this evening, slackening quickly
overnight.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Gagan






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