Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 151100

600 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2014

...Update to Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 305 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

Unseasonably cold temperatures and a clear sky prevailed across
the region early Tuesday morning providing ideal conditions for
viewing the lunar eclipse. An axis of surface high pressure shifting
eastward from the Plains will build over the Ozarks today
providing plenty of sunshine and light winds. This will result in
milder but still relatively cool temperatures.

The surface high will shift to the east tonight allowing a
southerly wind to develop especially from southeastern Kansas into
central Missouri. Winds will remain light much of the night
across south central Missouri and the eastern Ozarks which will
allow for better raditional cooling and colder temperatures. A
Frost Advisory will be issued for portions of south central
Missouri and eastern Ozarks late tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 305 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

The southerly flow will increase Wednesday as the surface pressure
gradient strengthens ahead of a front developing over the Plains.
This along with plenty of sunshine will push temperatures toward
normal mid April levels.

A shortwave trough will track eastward across the Rockies into the
Plains Thursday as the associated front sags southeastward.
Clouds will be on the increase Thursday with some light rain
developing from the west late in the day. Moisture quality will be
lacking with this system but expect areas of light rain to develop
across the region Thursday night. The shortwave and associated
front will move off to the east on Friday with any lingering rain
ending in the morning at most locations.

Upper level ridging will result in warmer temperatures again on
Saturday. However the next upper level trough within the
progressive upper pattern will arrive Sunday. Moisture transport
into this system again looks marginal but scattered showers are
expected Sunday into Sunday night.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 600 AM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS...VFR conditions will occur
across the TAF sites through tonight as high pressure moves
across the region today, then off to the east tonight. Light
northwesterly winds will occur this morning through much of this
afternoon. Winds will then become south to southeasterly and will
increase overnight as the area of high pressure continues to push
off to the east tonight.


MO...FROST ADVISORY from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Wednesday FOR MOZ058-070-

     FREEZE WARNING until 9 AM CDT this morning FOR MOZ055>058-

KS...FREEZE WARNING until 9 AM CDT this morning FOR KSZ073-097-101.



LONG TERM...Foster
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