Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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221
FXUS63 KSGF 302002
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
302 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2016

Dryline currently moving across the forecast area this afternoon
is expected to spark storms that will affect mainly the eastern
Ozarks through this evening. A few strong to severe storms will be
possible through early evening as mentioned in the previous
mesoscale discussion.

Otherwise expect sky cover to continue clearing from west to
east as drier airmass behind the cold front spreads across the
area and main area of low pressure over the central Plains pushes
eastward toward the Ohio Valley. Temperatures are expected to drop
into the 40s over the western Ozarks and southeast Kansas tonight.

Still looks like we will have temperatures about 10 to 15 degrees
cooler on Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2016

Models have increased the coverage of precipitation associated
with passage of upper level trough axis on Monday/Monday night...but
continue to keep accumulations low. Instability is low to nil so
will keep thunder out of the forecast.

The rest of the work week looks dry as high pressure builds
across the region and upper ridge sets up across the
Rockies. There may be some increase in cloud cover Wednesday night
as a weak disturbance drops southeast around the back side of the Great
Lakes upper trough.

Storm activity may pick up late next weekend as an upper level
trough develops over the southwest U.S.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Sat Apr 30 2016

MVFR ceilings will persist for a few more hours at SGF and JLN
before the frontal boundary moves through and things begin to mix out.
Kept vicinity thunder at BBG this afternoon as storms should fire
close to there but will likely be just to the east of the site.
VFR conditions will prevail from this evening through Sunday.


&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Terry
LONG TERM...Terry
AVIATION...Burchfield



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