Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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451
FXUS63 KSGF 052055
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
255 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 0225 PM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

In the near term, fire weather is a modest concern. RH values have
again fallen to into the 20s with a few modeste wind gusts of
15kts/15-20 mph at times over southern MO. Winds will die down
toward sunset.

Mid/high level clouds will increase with a shortwave passage
tonight. Then it looks quiet for Saturday, but continued dry.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 0225 PM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

Another more substantial system and cold fornt will move through
on Sunday. Initally fire weather will be a concern with increases
and shifting sfc winds and continued low afternoon RH values.

Much colder air with windy weather is expected Monday with
clouds/flurries on the backside of a closed upper low moving fom
the Midwest into the OH Vly.

A western CONUS ridge and eastern trough will keep our area in a
dry upper level nw flow pattern for much of next week. We expect
a couple of frontal passages/wind shifts next week with clouds at
times. A cold start will moderate as the heart of the cold air
mass shifts off to the east. High temperatures in the 50s are
expected Thu and looks to be the warmest day fr the work week next
week with a modest cool down for Fri.

Fire weather will continue to be a concern at times with dry
fuels and little in the way of meaningful precip. The RH/wind
combo in the fcst is doesn`t reach warning criteria, but any day
with gusty winds will at least reach the elevated category.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR conditions are expected. A weak
disturbance will produce abundant mid/upper level clouds at times.


&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...DSA



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