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000
FXUS63 KSGF 240843
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
243 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 245 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

An upper level trough is pushing off to the east towards the east
coast early this morning. Behind the trough mostly sunny and
warmer conditions will occur today. Highs will range from the
lower 50s across the eastern Ozarks to upper 50s across portions
of extreme southeastern Kansas this afternoon. Mild conditions
will occur into the overnight hours as lows drop into the middle
to upper 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 245 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

An upper level shortwave trough will dive south across the Plains
today and tonight, then into the region on Sunday. The better
moisture and energy with this system will remain to the east of
the area, but there should be enough lift across the eastern
Ozarks to squeeze out some sprinkles or light rain on Sunday as
the trough moves through the area. This will mainly be along and
east of Highway 65 and rain will be on the light side.

Temperatures will be a little cooler on Sunday with an increase in
cloud cover and the light rain moving through the area. Also,
a cooler air mass will start to spread south later in the day as
the trough passes through the region. Lows Sunday night will drop
into the middle to upper 20s.

An upper level ridge will build east and over the region by
Wednesday. This will result in mild and above normal temperatures
through the week. The warmest day appears to be on Wednesday when
some areas may warm into the 60s.

An upper level disturbance will then move through the region
Thursday. The better rain chances with this system appear to
remain to the north and east of the area and have left any mention
of rain out of the forecast at this time. Slightly cooler
temperatures will spread into the region Thursday into Friday
behind the upper level trough.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday Night)
Issued at 1102 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: A weak sfc trough will pass through
the region toward 12z. While SREF guidance keeps better chances
for IFR cat ceilings well off to the north of the taf sites, could
briefly see some few-sct low stratocumulus clouds before low
levels mix and dry out after 16z. Low level winds increase as a
clipper low moves southeast into IA late in the taf period and
added low level wind shear to all sites.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...DSA