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000
FXUS63 KSGF 291952
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
252 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday)

Another beautiful day over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures ranged from the upper 70s to the
lower 80s.

A few sprinkles were observed in southeast Kansas, however, this
activity had dissipated early this afternoon.

For tonight, cooler than normal temperatures are expected with
lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s. The warmer readings will
occur out toward Joplin and Pittsburg, as cloud cover increases
from the west.

As we approach the Wednesday morning hours, a band of rain will
likely begin to affect locations southwest of a line from Girard
Kansas to Branson Missouri. While we do have lower precipitation
chanes as far north as Springfield and Lake of the Ozarks, we are
much more confident in rain affecting areas closer to the Oklahoma
and Arkansas border.

Temperatures tomorrow will once again remain cool for the time of
year, with highs only in the low 70s near Neosho and Pineville, to
the lower 80s up toward central Missouri.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)

Rain chances will continue across far southern Missouri heading
into Wednesday night and Thursday.

A gradual warm up along with dry weather is expected from Thursday
into early next week. Northwest flow will persist across the
nation`s mid section with small height rises with time. Eventually
afternoon highs will return to near normal, with readings in the
middle and upper 80s by Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday.

Models suggest that better rain chances will occur toward the
middle and end of next week as a storm system and frontal boundary
approaches from the northwest. However, this is beyond our 7 day
forecast period.

Have a great afternoon !

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

VFR will continue into Wednesday morning with light winds. An
upper level disturbance will bring an increase in mid-level clouds
with a band of showers developing late tonight and Wednesday
morning from eastern Kansas into northwestern Arkansas. The
northeastern edge of this rain will get fairly close to the Joplin
and Branson aerodromes.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Schaumann