Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 221913
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
213 PM CDT Thu Sep 22 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)

It was another unseasonably warm day over extreme southeast Kansas
and the Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures warmed well into the 80s,
under mostly sunny skies and light winds.

It appears as though fair weather will continue through the rest
of the work week, and even into Saturday. Afternoon highs will
warm into the upper 80s and lower 90s on a daily basis.

Overnight lows will fall into the 60s, with little to no rain
chances through Saturday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Thursday)

There is significant model differences with the structure, track,
and timing of the long wave trough currently centered over
Nevada.

This feature is advertised to slowly progress east, eventually
bringing a widespread band of showers and thunderstorms across the
Ozarks sometime Sunday through Tuesday.

At this time there does not appear to be a sufficient cape - shear
combination for much of a severe weather risk.

Rainfall amounts look uncertain, and will depend on which model is
accurately depicting the structure of this long wave.

One thing is for certain, cooler temperatures will return to the
region, with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s Sunday through
Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect fair weather VFR conditions over the next 24 hours.

High pressure was in control over the nation`s midsection today.
This system will offer fair weather through the rest of the week.

We could see some valley fog early in the morning across southern
Missouri. However, we`re not confident that this will impact any
of the airfields.

Safe Travels.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Cramer



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