000
FXUS63 KSGF 291704
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1204 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

As advertised, a cold frontal boundary pushed through the area
yesterday allowing for a cooler and drier air mass to settle into
the region. Skies are mostly clear and winds have subsided across
the area overnight allowing for temperatures to drop into the
upper 40s to mid 50s with the higher temperatures out west.

Cool and dry conditions will continue through today as
temperatures only warm to around the 70 degree mark across the
area. An upper level low will continue to drop southward into the
Tennessee River Valley, which will keep us in the milder and drier
northwest flow through the short term. Skies should generally be
sunny, however, a few more clouds can be expected over central
portions of Missouri, closer to the upper level low.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

The aforementioned upper level low is expected to camp east of
our region through at least this weekend. Eventually, this feature
should begin to push northeastward into Canada by later in the
weekend. Cloud cover will be the primary concern out east as lobes
of vorticity rotate around the center of the upper low. Can`t rule
out a stray shower or two near the Ozark National Scenic
Riverways as stronger impulses move in somewhat closer proximity,
however, much of the energy should remain well east of our area.

As the low exits stage right, an upper level ridge will quickly
build over our area by early next week, which should allow
temperatures to gradually warm ahead of our next weather system
due into our region by mid week next week. Globals agree that an
upper level trough and cold frontal boundary will eventually push
through the region, however, exact details such as timing and
impacts remain a bit uncertain at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Thu Sep 29 2016

With large closed low in the OH valley, northerly flow will
persist across the area. Main clouds will be east of our area in
association with the low. VFR conditions are expected through the
period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Frye
LONG TERM...Frye
AVIATION...Lindenberg