Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 111923
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
223 PM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 223 PM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017

Showers have been on the diminishing trend over central Missouri
over the past couple of hours. Much drier air moving in from
northern Missouri and should spread south over the area tonight
into much of the day Saturday. This should give us a break from
the rain for a brief time. Rain chances will return by Saturday
night into much of next weeek and will be the main focus with this
forecast.


&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017

For this evening and tonight, precipitation should end over the
area by this evening with drier air moving into the area from the
north. The sky should clear out across the area tonight with
morning lows from the low to mid 60s. The drier air mass will
linger across the area on Saturday with highs again in the low to
mid 80s.


.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017

Moisture should start to return across the southwest part of the
CWA on Saturday night. The GFS keeps most of the precipitation
Saturday night south and west of the area while the ECMWF bring
some of the precipitation into the southwestern and southern CWA.
The models also have differing solutions through much of the week,
but all show the potential of scattered showers/thunderstorms
throughout the long term period. Confidence in any one solutions
at this time is fairly low.

We will begin to change the upper pattern slightly with some
ridging over the area by midweek and then some southwest flow
ahead of a trough for the latter part of the week. This will help
to bring warmer temperatures back to the area for the middle to
later half of next work week along with higher instability.



&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1148 AM CDT Fri Aug 11 2017

A few showers left over across the area and will go with VCSH
wording for this afternoon. Drier air mass then works into the
area this evening/tonight and for much of Saturday which should
keep the rain out of the rest of this aviation forecast along with
decreasing cloud cover. Expecting VFR conditions through the
period with a light wind developing tonight.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg



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