Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 190452
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1152 PM CDT Sat Mar 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 117 PM CDT Sat Mar 18 2017

Surface high pressure will move off to the east tonight and Sunday
while the upper patter becomes more zonal.

Increasing warm air and moisture advection will support the
potential for the development of elevated convection late tonight
into Sunday morning from southeastern Kansas into central
Missouri. This activity is expected to diminish and exit the area
Sunday afternoon as a surface warm front lifts north.

Warmer temperatures are in store for Sunday with readings
approaching 80 degrees west of Highway 65.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 117 PM CDT Sat Mar 18 2017

An unsettled weather pattern will evolve as we head through next
week. Scattered storms may again impact portions of central and
south central Missouri Sunday night as convection develops along
front dropping southward into the region.

This front will stall out either over or just south of the area
during the early and middle part of next week while a series of
upper level disturbances track across the region. This will
maintain daily chances of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms
although details on exact timing and coverage are in question.

A deeper upper level trough will approach from the west late in
the week allowing the warm sector to spread north. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system will impact the Ozarks
region later Thursday and Friday.  This system will have to be
monitored for the potential of stronger storms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1140 PM CDT Sat Mar 18 2017

Flight conditions overnight and through much of the day Sunday
will be VFR with a mid level ceiling moving over the region.
Surface winds will shift out of the southwest to south an be
breezy with periods of gusts. Low level wind shear will impact all
area terminals Sunday evening.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Hatch



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