Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 010435
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1135 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)

It was another fantastic day for outdoor activities across the
Ozarks. Low humidity made the airmass feel comfortable despite
temperatures flirting with the low 90s.

A Canadian high pressure system was centered directly over
southern Missouri, causing light and variable surface winds this
afternoon.

Out west toward Kansas and Oklahoma, a different airmass was
observed with dew points well into the 70s from Grand Lake back
into the much of the southern Plains. Thunderstorms had developed
within this instability, and should be confined to areas away from
the Ozarks.

Therefore tonight, look for mostly clear skies with lows in the
mid to upper 60s. Light and variable winds will continue as high
pressure will be slow to move.

For Saturday, we can expect temperatures to warm a degree or two
compared to today, with slightly more humidity. Should be a decent
day for some outdoor activities since rain chances are little to
none.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)

Dry weather is expected to persist through the rest of the weekend
as the summertime high remains centered over New Mexico.
Eventually, shortwave energy will trigger showers and
thunderstorms across the Ozarks Region. This will likely occur by
Tuesday night or Wednesday. The airmass will become increasingly
moist and unstable next week, setting the stage for multiple
periods of active weather.

Timing the individual disturbances at this point is tough to do,
however, we do know that conditions will be much more favorable
for at least a couple rounds of thunderstorms.

As far as temperatures are concerned, look for highs to range from
the middle 80s to the middle 90s on an afternoon basis Monday
through Friday. Increased humidity will drive heat indices into
the lower 90s to lower 100s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday Night)
Issued at 1134 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

VFR conditions and mostly clear skies will continue into Saturday
evening. Winds will remain light and variable.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Schaumann





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