Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 270437
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1137 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 213 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2014

Large, amplified upper level ridge was located across the middle
2/3 of the CONUS, with a closed upper level cut-off low located
over northern Missouri into Iowa. Not much in the way of
convective activity in association with this feature as atmosphere
remains relatively dry across the region. Best Gulf moisture is
currently behind held back down towards the Gulf with large area
of high pressure in the lower levels affecting much of the eastern
half of the U.S.

Main forecast focus will deal with temperatures until the pattern
begins to change and the trough out west begins to kick eastward
and eventually through the area late next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2014

For tonight and Saturday, not much change from past couple of days
with upper level energy continuing to meander around northern
Missouri into Iowa underneath the large amplified ridge.
Temperatures will be similar to this morning/today.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2014

Upper energy over west Texas will track along the Gulf coast and
into the Tennessee and Ohio valley region through the rest of the
weekend. A couple of days ago, it was looking like this may affect
our area on Sunday with some Gulf moisture interaction, but over
the past several model runs, this energy has shifted to the
eastward and it appears our area will remain dry for now.

Temperatures will be similar to slightly warmer through the middle
of next week. The upper level trough and energy out west will
gradually shift east and begin to break down and shift the ridge
axis to the east by the middle of the week. Could start to see
precipitation chances in the western CWA creep into the forecast
by Wednesday, however the bulk of the upper level support will
still be well to the northwest of us. The upper level wave and a
surface cold front will eventually shift eastward and across the
region by Thursday/Friday with increased precipitation chances
over the area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 1135 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2014

Pilots can expect a continuation of VFR conditions at area
terminals with a light southeast surface wind.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Foster






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