Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 231221
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
621 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 236 AM CST MON FEB 23 2015

High and mid level clouds continue to stream through the skies
over the area along with a cold north wind ushering in an Arctic
airmass. Regional radars continue to show light snow aloft from
time to time this morning. Most of this activity is not reaching
the ground due to dry air as the surface. But slightly enhanced
echos over southern Kansas this morning may work their way into
southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri this morning with a few
flurries. No accumulations expected. Temperatures are running about
25 degrees below average for late February.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 236 AM CST MON FEB 23 2015

Light southwesterly winds will return tomorrow and on Wednesday
with a brief warm up but still below average on temperatures for
the middle of the week. All guidance continue to show a fast
moving clipper like system for Wednesday night into early
Thursday. This will bring a chance of light snow area wide with
light accumulations possible.

Temperatures will get very cold again with more Arctic air behind
that front on Thursday. Guidance is still having a hard time on
the end of the week and weekend weather pattern. The cold air in
place by the end of the week will be slow to retreat at the same
time. West to southwest flow in the mid levels will eject some
energy in the flow across the central portions of the country.
Timing...moisture availability...and temperatures will play a big
role for the end of the week on what types of precip we will see.

With this forecast update...will continue to main a broad brush of
precip chances starting Friday through Sunday with some light
wintry weather to start with and eventually warming up to just
cold rain later in the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday Morning)
Issued at 609 AM CST MON FEB 23 2015

Pilots can expect MVFR ceilings today into tonight at area
terminals with cloud decks generally between 5-7 KFT. Areas of
light snow may develop today but mainly to the south of the
terminal sites. Otherwise a steady northeasterly wind will persist
at the surface as Arctic air spills into the area.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Foster






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