Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 311135 AAA

635 AM CDT Sun May 31 2015

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 303 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 2015

A much quieter stretch of weather appears to finally be on tap for
the region for the coming week, as ridging both at the surface and
aloft look to remain in place over the area for the next few days.

Starting out this morning, widespread low clouds, along with patchy
fog and drizzle are occurring in many places.  This will persist
through at least mid morning, with fog and drizzle most prevalent
along the spine of the Ozark Plateau, where stratus is more prone to
build down toward the higher elevations.  A few sprinkles/showers
can be expected over the extreme southeastern corner of the forecast
area later today (mainly Oregon County), where a weak mid level front and
vort max will combine to produce isolated precipitation.  This
shouldn`t amount to more than a few sprinkles or very light rain

Elsewhere, cloud cover will hold strong until at least this
afternoon, when clearing will slowly begin from the northwest.
Right now, it`s rather questionable just how far south the clearing
line will make it before sunset; I-44 may be overly optimistic.
Where clouds do clear tonight, some fog will be possible given
recent rains.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 2015

The slow clearing trend will continue Monday, though right now
things are looking more cloudy than not as an upper low remains
parked over southeastern Arkansas.  This will contribute to another
cool day, with highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.  By Tuesday, the
pesky low will finally move far enough southeast to allow a bit of
upper level ridging to build into the region, which will persist
through much of the week.  Temperatures will respond accordingly,
with highs warming a few degrees each day, reaching the mid 80s by
week`s end.  That upper ridge will also help reinforce surface high
pressure over the Great Lakes, which will keep easterly to
southeasterly winds in place at the surface.  This should keep
dewpoints a bit lower for much of the week, resulting in rather
pleasant humidity levels by June standards.  A few scattered
thunderstorms will again be possible by the end of the week into
next weekend, but overall, things are looking MUCH drier than the
previous couple of weeks.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday Morning)
Issued at 635 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 2015

Prolonged period of stratus will continue over the next 24 hours.
IFR ceilings will persist this morning with occasional bouts of
MVFR visibility when drizzle is present. Conditions will gradually
improve to MVFR and even low end VFR this afternoon.
Unfortunately, ceilings will begin to descend during the evening,
with IFR/low end MVFR ceilings once again expected overnight




LONG TERM...Boxell
AVIATION...Gagan is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.