Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 101918

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
218 PM CDT Tue Oct 10 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Tue Oct 10 2017

The surface front and low pressure had made its way through/east
of the region this afternoon though lingering low stratus and
mist/drizzle was still occuring for some locations. This is
expected to continue through the overnight hours with some patchy
for/stratus build down possible across the plateau and similar
elevations across the Ozarks for Wednesday morning.

Overnight temperatures area expected to fall into the lower 40s
across the region with some locations across western Missouri and
southeastern Kansas seeing a few upper 30 readings.

Cloud cover will slowly improve from southwest to north east
through the day Wednesday with highs only reaching the lower 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Tue Oct 10 2017

The upper level patter will shift towards southwesterly flow
through the end for the week. This will allow temperatures to
climb back into the lower to middle 80s by Friday afternoon. with
no rain expected.

A cold front will approach the region and slow or briefly stall
late Friday. This will bring some showers and storms to location
north of highway 54 through Saturday morning.

The cold front will finally push through the Ozarks Saturday
night into Sunday morning. Showers and isolated storms are
expected but limited instability will limit and potential for
strong of severe storms.

Behind the front a sprawling area of surface high pressure will
move into the central plains under northwesterly flow aloft
bringing a return of fall temperatures to the region for the start
of next week.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Tue Oct 10 2017

TAF forecasts will be challenging this afternoon through tonight
for SGF and BBG. We expected mostly IFR for BBG and SGF through
tonight. JLN will see mainly MVFR. Ceilings may climb briefly this
afternoon but fall again with stratus build after sunset. Some
light fog or mist will remain in the forecast through this evening
and tonight for SGF and BBG. Skies will finally start to clear
out by mid morning tomorrow. Winds will be northwesterly through
the next 24 hours about 10 knots with some gusts up to 16 knots
possible this afternoon. Winds will gradually decrease to around 5
knots by tomorrow morning.




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