Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 181712

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1212 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Wed May 18 2016

Cloudy conditions are occurring along and south of I-44 with
mainly clear skies occurring north of the interstate early this
morning. Temperatures have fallen into the lower 40s where it has
cleared with temperatures remaining around 50 under the cloud

Fog is beginning to develop across portions of central
Missouri where temperatures have cooled into the middle 40s. High
level clouds are starting to spread into the area from the
southwest which may limit fog development some, but have not
reached central MO yet this morning where fog is currently
developing. Still expect patchy fog with visibilities dropping
below one half mile at times mainly across portions of central
Missouri early this morning. Conditions should then begin to
improve by mid morning. Farther south more cloud cover will occur
and limit the over all fog potential.

Highs this afternoon will warm into the middle to upper 60s as lows
tonight drop into the lower to middle 40s, a few spots across
central MO may drop into the lower 40s tonight. A drier air mass
will spread over the area tonight and should help to limit
widespread fog development into early Thursday morning. There
could still be some patchy ground fog in spots given the moist
grounds from the recent rains.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Wed May 18 2016

An upper level trough currently over the southwestern U.S. will
track east across the southern Plains Thursday then across the
region Friday. As the system approaches lift will result in the
potential for showers across the region Thursday afternoon into
Friday. Moisture will be limited, however, which will result in the
coverage in rainfall being more scattered in nature and on the
light side. instability will be limited also, and we are now not
expected much in the way of thunder with this system.

Dry and warmer conditions will then occur this weekend as highs in
the middle to upper 70s occur. Highs on Sunday may approach the 80
degree mark in spots.

Another system will then approach the region early next week and
bring chances for showers and thunderstorms to the area.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect VFR conditions over the next 24 hours.

Breaks in the cloud cover were being observed over the region as a
storm system shifted east.

Meanwhile, northeast breezes ranging from 10 to 20 mph were
measured this afternoon. These wind speeds are expected to become
light and variable this evening and overnight.

No low ceilings or obstructions to visibilities are expected at
this time.

Safe Travels.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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