Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 130858

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
258 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 215 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2017

Surface high pressure was spreading over the region this morning
which was helping temperatures fall into the 30s. Mid and high
level clouds were beginning to spread over the area from the west
as a cutoff upper level low was slowly moving to the east across
the southern plains. This cloud cover is expected to keep
temperatures fairly steady through the predawn hours.

After sunrise temperatures will begin to climb into the 50s as the
upper low continues to move east through today helping to build a
short-lived ridge over the region.

The upper low will move east across the southern plains becoming
an open trough overnight tonight. As this transition occurs, an
area of light rain will spread into southern Missouri and
southeastern Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 215 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2017

The rain, while light will linger across extreme southern
Missouri through the day Tuesday as the system moves across the
Gulf States finally shifting east of the area Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning.

The Ozarks will then be under the influence of upper level
northwesterly flow through the middle of the week with a broad
upper ridge moving over the center of the country by week`s end
and into the weekend.

Models do show a storm system moving into the plains and Ozarks
by early next week that could bring thunderstorms to the area,
but will monitor this for model changes through the week.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1130 PM CST Sun Feb 12 2017

VFR conditions will prevail across the area tonight and through
the day Monday. High level clouds will spread across the region
during the TAF period. Winds will be light as high pressure
tracks through the area.




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