Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 121649
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1149 AM CDT Tue Sep 12 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 142 AM CDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The remnants of Irma will bring a considerable amount of mid and
high level cloudiness to the region through tonight. It does
appear that a few bands of light rain showers will also affect the
eastern Missouri Ozarks. Areas west of U.S. 65 should remain dry
today as a dry low level air mass may be too much to overcome.

Those clouds will keep temperatures quite cool for this time of
year, especially across the eastern Ozarks. Areas out towards West
Plains may struggle to reach the 70 degree mark. Locations west of
I-49 should still manage to make the upper 70s due to thinner and
slightly more limited high clouds.

Rather brisk and somewhat gusty northerly winds can also be
expected today as the low level pressure gradient remains rather
tight. Winds should quickly diminish this evening as the gradient
begins to relax.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 142 AM CDT Tue Sep 12 2017

We could see a rogue light shower Wednesday morning across the
eastern Ozarks. Otherwise, the remnants of Irma will quickly shift
northeast of the region with pleasant conditions expected for the
remainder of the day. Temperatures will be warmer with more
sunshine expected, especially in the afternoon. Highs should range
from the middle 70s over the eastern Ozarks to the lower and
middle 80s along and west of the I-49 corridor.

A pattern shift will then commence from Thursday into the upcoming
weekend. A southwesterly flow aloft will develop across the
central portion of the United States. This will result in warming
temperatures across the Ozarks with highs returning to the middle
and upper 80s.

An isolated shower or thunderstorm will not be out of the question
on Saturday as low level moisture and instability increases across
the region. A slightly better chance for storms may materialize by
Sunday and Monday as global models bring a cold front into the
region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Tue Sep 12 2017

Some mid and high level clouds were across the area late this
morning associated with remnants of Irma along with a few
northerly gusts at the surface. May see some lower clouds into the
MVFR category later tonight at the BBG terminal and points east in
the eastern Ozarks, but SGF/JLN should remain in VFR. Remnants of
Irma should pull away from the area during the day on Wednesday,
so cloud cover should diminish during the mid to late morning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...Lindenberg



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