Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
000
FXUS63 KSGF 152010
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
310 PM CDT Mon May 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Mon May 15 2017

The area stills remains under high pressure this afternoon with
the high forecast to continue to drift eastward. Winds will become
lighter after sunset with overnight lows ranging from the upper
50s to low 60s.

Our next weather maker is an upper level trough currently making
its way across southern California. This trough is expected to
continue to dig into the southern Rockies during the day on
Tuesday. This will have the affect of tightening up the surface
pressure gradient which will increase our winds beginning Tuesday
morning. Wind gusts could approach 30 mph during the day along and
west of Interstate 49. Highs on Tuesday should once again make it
into the 80s area wide.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 217 PM CDT Mon May 15 2017

The upper level system is expected to become negatively tilted as
it moves into the Central Plains Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms should move in after midnight
over portions of southeast Kansas and western Missouri...and
continue across the area on Wednesday into Thursday. Rainfall
amounts should be rather light and severe weather is not expected
at this time.  Winds will be gusty as well on Wednesday.

The second weather maker will make its way onto the Pacific
Northwest coast on Tuesday and meander across the Central Rockies
before moving out into the Northern Plains by late in the week.
This system will begin affecting the region on Thursday night as
primarily as a moderate to heavy rain maker. Heaviest rainfall
should occur during the overnight hours on Thursday as well as the
overnight hours on Friday. This system is expected to hang around
through the weekend. Right now...looks like the heavier rainfall
amounts will occur over extreme southeast Kansas and western
Missouri.

It is still a little too far out yet to pinpoint a specific severe
threat with this storm. The GFS remains a little more progressive
and a bit stronger than the ECMWF. Looks like the system should be
through the entire area by Monday. With that frontal
passage...temperatures should return to more seasonable levels.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Mon May 15 2017

VFR conditions expected at all terminals through the forecast
period. May see an occasional gust at KJLN but enough mention
within the TAF. Otherwise...expect winds of 10-15kt at most
locations this afternoon.

Overnight...with the low level jet setting up...will see some LLWS
at KJLN for a couple of hours just before sunrise. Winds will also
begin to become gusty at KSGF/KJLN around mid morning.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Gaede



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.