Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 180451
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1151 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)

It was a dark and damp day over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures struggled to warm out of the low 50s
as a late season Canadian airmass once again spread across
southern Missouri.

Light rain and drizzle will be coming to an end this afternoon
into the evening. However, dense fog is expected to develop
tonight as moisture remains trapped within the lower trop.
Visibilities should get down below one half of a mile tonight.
There is a chance that a Dense Fog Advisory will be needed for
portions of Central Missouri.

Wednesday will be a pretty nice day, but somewhat cool for the
time of year. We are expecting highs in the middle and upper 60s
underneath a mix of sun and clouds. No precipitation is expected
on Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)

By Thursday and Thursday night, an upper level low pressure system
will approach the Ozarks from the southwest. This feature will
produce large scale lift for mostly rain showers. We could get an
isolated thunderstorm or two, but instability appears to be weak
at this time. Certainly no severe weather is expected with this
activity as it persists into Friday.

This weekend looks amazing for outdoor activities. A large upper
ridge of high pressure will build over the nation`s midsection.
This will bring warm and sunny conditions, with highs in the 70s
on Saturday and Sunday.

Heading into the beginning of next work week, another system
approaches from the west. This could bring more unsettled weather
to the Ozarks.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 17 2016

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Clearing line has made it into central
Missouri, with the back edge from near Lake of the Ozarks to Fort
Scott Kansas. Ceilings within the clouds were generally in the MVFR
category with some pockets of IFR from time to time. Clouds will
continue to move slowly south overnight, but any clearing will
likely be met with fog formation and perhaps an IFR stratus deck
as the night wears on, with the best time between 08Z and 14Z for
IFR and perhaps LIFR visibilities and ceilings. Improving
conditions back into the VFR flight category is expected at all
sites after 15Z Wednesday.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Raberding



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