Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 222253

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
553 PM CDT Sat Oct 22 2016

...00Z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday afternoon)

Incredible conditions were observed over extreme southeast Kansas
and the Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures were in the 70s, under sunny
skies and light southerly breezes.

High pressure aloft was building over the nation`s midsection,
which will result in fair weather through Tuesday afternoon.

Look for highs in the 70s both Sunday and Monday. No precipitation
is expected through Tuesday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday)

An upper level disturbance and associated Pacific cold front will
approach the region late Tuesday night. This system will bring a
round of showers and thunderstorms to most locations across the
region. Measurable precipitation should be widespread in nature.

This activity should exit the area by Thursday. No severe weather
is expected with this system. Moisture return is thin in nature,
and not enough instability develops across southern Missouri for
organized storms.

Another warming trend is expected Thursday into next weekend, as
another upper level ridge approaches from the west.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 552 PM CDT Sat Oct 22 2016

The only aviation hazard expected over the next 24 hours will be
low level wind shear tonight, as a low level jet develops over the
region. Southwesterly breezes will continue on Sunday, with
occasional gusts around or just over 15 KT during the day. Skies
are expected to remain clear through the period.




LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Boxell is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.