Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 041203

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
703 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 253 AM CDT Wed May 4 2016

A shortwave moving sse through the OH Vly today will support
a dry cool frontal passage early. Gusty nnw winds and low
afternoon humidity are expected. The winds will diminish quickly
by early tonight as high pressure starts to move in from the west.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 253 AM CDT Wed May 4 2016

A high amplitude upper level ridge over western NOAM will shift
east over the next few days reaching our region by Saturday. This
will produce a quick warming trend Thu into Fri with highs in the
low 80s in some areas Fri afternoon after a cool morning start.
Highs in the low/mid 80s will be possible Sat with west to
southwest winds kicking in.

The upper ridge will already be weakening/breaking down over our
area Saturday as it shifts east and a large closed upper low
moves into the central Rockies. The low will slowly shift into the
western High Plains early next week. Lead shortwave impulses ahead
of the upper low will increase lift as moisture moves northward as
a result of a persistent fetch off the western Gulf of Mexico. The
initial moisture return will be very modified, but it should
increase as we head into the work week next week with increasing
chances for showers/thunderstorms.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 655 AM CDT Wed May 4 2016

Surface winds will be gusty this morning out of the northwest as
a cold front moves through the region. Winds will the shift to
the west southwest this evening and become light after the front
passes. Low level winds shear for KJLN and KSGF will be the
promary concern for aviators this morning with unrestricted flight
conditions through the forecast period.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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