Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 091743

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
1243 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015


.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0248 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2015

The cold front that has been advertised for the past several days
has made its way to the Arkansas state line already this morning.
Elevated showers and a few isolated rumbles of thunder were
lagging behind the front early this morning. Instability remains
very limited and no severe weather is expected. Rainfall with the
storms has been limited to generally a quarter inch of less as the
showers move east as the front sags to the south. However, areas
up towards Truman Lake did see some training activity and received
closer to an inch of rainfall.

As the front moves through the area, a cooler air mass will
follow with afternoon highs today only climbing into the middle
60s to near 70. Skies will clear tonight with temperatures falling
into the 40s. This will bring the potential for fog to develop
overnight as the cool air mass moves over the wet ground from
today`s rainfall.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 0248 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2015

The pattern for this weekend through next weekend looks to be
under the influence of northwest flow aloft. With the exception of
a cold front Sunday night into early Monday that may bring a few
sprinkles to the area based on the GFS output, there are no
significant chances for rain until Friday or Saturday of next

A transient upper level ridge will move through the northwest
flow this weekend and allow temperatures to climb into the lower
80s by Sunday, but the Monday cold front will bring more
seasonable weather to the region for next week with daily highs in
the 70s.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)

Pilots flying in and out of Springfield and Branson airports can
expect MVFR ceilings through at least the afternoon hours.
Meanwhile in Joplin, ceilings will improve to VFR by 3pm.

Low cloud cover is expected to clear from northwest to southeast
late this afternoon and through the evening hours. VFR conditions
will then ensue for most of the night. However, there does appear
to be some fog potential from 3am to 8am Saturday morning.

Once the morning fog burns off Saturday, an extended period of
fair weather will persist well into next work week.

Surface winds will become light and variable at all locations this
evening, and continuing into Saturday morning.

Safe Travels.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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