Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 250046
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
846 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE ENDED OVER MOST OF THE REGION
BUT A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS CONTINUES NEAR
AND OFFSHORE OF FORT MYERS. THESE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST AND EXPECT ALL LAND AREAS TO BE DRY BY 10 PM.

HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SIMILAR SETUP FOR MONDAY
AS ANY WEST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL BE PINNED RIGHT NEAR THE COAST.
SOME DRIER AIR MAY RESULT IN A BIT LESS ACTIVITY INLAND THAN WHAT
WE SAW TODAY...BUT AREAS WEST OF I-75 AND ESPECIALLY RIGHT AT THE
BEACHES SHOULD SEE ANOTHER ACTIVE AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAINLY VFR NOW WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS DEPARTING THE FORT MYERS
AREA. ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON STORMS WILL LIKELY IMPACT COASTAL
TAF SITES ON MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
COULD SEE AN EASTERLY SURGE OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 15
TO 20 KNOTS NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE EXERCISE
CAUTION. OTHERWISE THE MAIN CONCERN IS THE CURRENT AREA OF STORMS
MOVING THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD. THESE MAY
HOLD TOGETHER AND EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO THE OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN
ENGLEWOOD AND TARPON SPRINGS. MORE EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS SEEM
LIKELY ON MONDAY.

NO MAJOR CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST THIS
EVENING.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...JILLSON
DECISION SUPPORT...MROCZKA



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