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000
FXUS62 KTBW 110243
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
943 PM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SMALL BAND OF SHOWERS ALONG THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE
NATURE COAST EARLIER THIS EVENING IS DISSIPATING AS IT PUSHES INTO
THE TAMPA BAY AREA TONIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT STALLS ACROSS THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL ZONES. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NE WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY CONDITIONS CONTINUING. LOW TEMPS ON TRACK TO FALL INTO THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S NORTH...UPPER 50S TO MID 60S CENTRAL...AND
LOWER TO MID 60S SOUTH. CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK AND HAVE NO
UPDATE PLANNED.

&&

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING.
GENERALLY VFR EXPECTED BUT THEN SOME MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE BOUNDARY IN PLACE.

&&

.MARINE...
OFFSHORE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WATERS HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 20
KNOTS WITH NEAR SHORE WATERS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS ALL FROM
THE NE. SOUTHERN WATERS ARE STILL MORE NORTHERLY AROUND 5 KNOTS
BUT SHOULD BE SHIFTING TO THE NE AND INCREASING 10 TO 15 KNOTS BY
MORNING AS THE FRONT...CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
WATERS...SETTLES INTO THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND STALLS WITH STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. SPRINKLES
WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATERS OVERNIGHT. CURRENT
FORECAST IS MOSTLY ON TRACK AND HAVE LITTLE CHANGE FOR THE UPDATE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TARPON
     SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/COLSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...05/CARLISLE