Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 190215
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
915 PM EST THU DEC 18 2014

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. A ZONAL JET FLOW EXTENDING FROM TEXAS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. IS HELPING TO PRODUCE A DECK OF HIGH CLOUDS.
THESE HIGH CLOUDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AS THERE IS NO
MAJOR CHANGE IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW OR SURFACE FEATURES. WITH
THE CLOUD COVER...NOT EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TO DROP NEAR FREEZING
SO HAVE KEPT TEMPS NEAR 40 ALONG THE NATURE COAST AND IN THE UPPER
40S FARTHER SOUTH. WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL TEMP/DEW POINT
SPREAD...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE OVER THE INLAND AREAS DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. ALL PARAMETERS IN THE GRIDS ARE TRACKING WELL
SO NO CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES WITH BRIEF PERIODS
OF MVFR FOR PATCHY FOG DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN
09-12Z. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INCREASING
LATE MORNING TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 8 KNOTS. THE ONLY
CLOUDS EXPECTED WILL BE SCT/BKN HIGH CIRRUS.

&&

.MARINE...
BUOYS ARE SHOWING GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS THIS EVENING AND
CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH THIS. RIDGING WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY...THEN A TROUGH WILL
LINGER OVER THE NE GULF WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  50  72  56  75 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  52  76  58  79 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  48  72  54  76 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  48  72  54  75 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  40  73  46  76 /   0   0   0  10
SPG  54  71  59  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...WYNN
MARINE...HUBBARD
DECISION SUPPORT...CARLISLE





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