Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 020057
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
857 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.UPDATE...
SEA BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS PRODUCED SOME SCATTERED
STRONG STORMS OVER THE REGION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS WITH A SEVERE STORM BEING WARNED ON OVER LEE COUNTY
AND SEVERAL FUNNEL CLOUDS BEING OBSERVED AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AREA
AND A WATERSPOUT BEING DETECTED BY THE 88D OVER THE MIDDLE TAMPA
BAY. 88D RETURNS THIS EVENING CONTINUES TO SHOW A LINE OF STORMS FROM
JUST WEST OF TAMPA EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO EASTERN CITRUS COUNTY
NEAR INVERNESS. AS THE EVENING CONTINUES THIS CONVECTION WILL SLOWLY
DISSIPATE AS LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING CONTINUES AND BOUNDARY
INTERACTIONS WEAKEN. WILL UPDATE THE ZONES TO REMOVE EVENING RAIN
CHANCES ONCE MOST OF THE CONVECTION ENDS...OTHERWISE NO OTHER GRID
OR ZONE CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME. A THANKS GOES OUT TO ALL WHO
PROVIDED US WITH REPORTS AND PICTURES OF THE FUNNEL CLOUDS THIS
EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...
BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS FROM ONGOING SHRA/TSRA WILL AFFECT KTPA
KPIE AND KSRQ TERMINALS THROUGH 02Z TONIGHT...OTHERWISE VFR IS
EXPECTED AT ALL SITES THROUGH 16Z ON TUESDAY. DEVELOPING SHRA/TSRA
ON TUESDAY MAY BRING ADDITIONAL BRIEF PERIODS OF MVRF IFR
CONDITIONS TO THE TERMINALS AFTER 18Z...AND HAVE HANDLED WITH VCTS
FOR NOW. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE 5 TO 7 KNOT RANGE THIS
EVENING WILL BECOME VARIABLE AOB 5 KNOTS AFTER 02Z...BECOMING
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS AFTER 15Z...THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 8
TO 10 KNOTS AFTER 18Z WITH STRONG GUSTS IN THE VICINITY OF TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...
EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND SEAS 2 FEET OF LESS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC
BUILDS WEST OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE SEA BREEZE WILL SET UP
ALONG THE COASTLINE EACH DAY TURNING THE WINDS TO AN ONSHORE FLOW
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST DIRECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY DEVELOPING OVER LAND AND THEN
PUSHING WESTWARD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS...HIGHER SEAS...AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR WATERSPOUTS IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS. ONGOING
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITH NO CHANGES EXPECTED IN THE LATE
EVENING ISSUANCE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...57/MCMICHAEL
MARINE...02/GARCIA
DECISION SUPPORT...18/FLEMING






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