Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 130210
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
910 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

.UPDATE...
THE ONLY CONCERN OVERNIGHT IS HIGHER DEW POINTS POOLING AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH OUR REGION EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
SOME HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THE POSSIBILITY OF SEA
FOG AS DEW POINTS NEAR 60 DEGREES MOVE OVER SHELF WATERS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 50S. SINCE WE HAVE YET TO SEE ANY FOG DEVELOPING OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WATERS...WILL KEEP IT OUT OF THE FORECAST
FOR NOW BUT MONITOR THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE APPROACHING LEVY COUNTY AN HOUR OR SO
AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN CONTINUING SOUTH THROUGH TAMPA BY SUNRISE
AND BEYOND FORT MYERS BY MID-MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE
WAY OF SHOWERS...BUT SOME CLOUDS COULD ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.
CLOUDS WILL CLEAR RAPIDLY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY WITH SUNNY SKIES
RETURNING TO MOST OF THE AREA BEFORE NOON.

THE GRIDDED FORECAST AND POINT AND CLICKS ON THE WEB HAVE BEEN
UPDATED TO REFLECT THE LATEST CONDITIONS. TEXT ZONE PRODUCTS DO
NOT REQUIRE UPDATING AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME SHALLOW GROUND
FOG COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES 10-13Z...
BUT CONFIDENCE IN EXTENT TOO LOW TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT BUOY
42036 SO EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENT STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR THE
WATERS BEYOND 20NM. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY REACH 20 KNOTS EARLY
SATURDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...BUT THINK DURATION WILL BE SHORT
ENOUGH TO CONTINUE WITH EXERCISE CAUTION ON SATURDAY AS OPPOSED TO
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST BY SUNDAY AND DIMINISH BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA
BY MID-DAY.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL
     SARASOTA.

GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...JILLSON
DECISION SUPPORT...WYNN


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