Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 020333
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1030 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1030 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.


DISCUSSION...
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG WINDS WILL EXIST WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. IN ADDITION...A
LIMITED TORNADO THREAT WILL REMAIN GIVEN THE INCREASING LOW LEVEL
WINDS OVERNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING
THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA... AND SHOULD
CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY
AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
ALONG A COLD FRONT IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA...PUSHING INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY WITH ANY AFTERNOON OR EVENING STORMS...WITH
HIGH INSTABILITY AND INCREASING SHEAR PRESENT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE  POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PARTS OF FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN AND FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR...MAINLY IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THAT SEE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
RAINFALL. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD MOVE INTO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS BY LATE EVENING...WITH COOLER AND DRIER AIR ESTABLISHING
ITSELF ACROSS THE AREA THEREAFTER.

QUIET WEATHER WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND AT LEAST THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$





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