Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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905
FLUS44 KTSA 272258
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
458 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
458 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...East of a McAlester to Miami line.
ONSET...This evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms have developed along a northward moving warm
front positioned just south of the Red River. These storms are
expected to expand northeastward later this evening as the warm
front lifts north into southeast Oklahoma. and a low level jet
increases across far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Any
storms are expected to remain elevated in nature, but a few
stronger cells may produce hail up to quarter size.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY through FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Severe thunderstorms continue to appear likely Tuesday afternoon
and into Tuesday night.

The highest threat for significant severe weather will exist
Tuesday afternoon across far eastern Oklahoma and western
Arkansas. While afternoon thunderstorm development is more
uncertain, any storms that develop will likely be supercellular,
with a large hail, damaging wind, and isolated tornado threat.

A second, more likely round of thunderstorms is expected late
Tuesday evening and into early Wednesday morning along a cold
front moving through eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
Damaging winds will be the primary severe weather threat, but
there will also be a low chance of isolated, short-lived
tornadoes with stronger cells within the expected squall line.

In addition to the severe thunderstorm threats on Tuesday, an
elevated risk of rapid fire spread will exist during the afternoon
hours, especially across parts of northeast Oklahoma. Southerly
winds will gust in the 25 to 35 mph range in conjunction with
near record temperatures and continued very dry fuels.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$



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