Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 291008
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
508 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
508 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM MCALESTER TO MIAMI.
ONSET...THIS MORNING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...THIS MORNING AND AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
THIS MORNING...AND POSSIBLY DEVELOP INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS
BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.  SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A LEVEL OF ORGANIZATION WITH THE
MORNING STORM COMPLEX...WHICH WILL RAISE THE DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL UNTIL THE COMPLEX FINALLY DISSIPATES.  FURTHER
STORM DEVELOP IS LIKELY ALONG THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE ANOTHER STORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY TONIGHT.  THE STRONGEST STORMS
AT ANY TIME WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG WIND GUSTS ALONG
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING EARLY SATURDAY AND
MAY PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE
DAY.  THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE REPEATED
STORM COMPLEXES WILL REMAIN A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
INTO SUNDAY.  THEREAFTER THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL TRANSITION
TO A HOT AND DRY PATTERN WITH HEAT STRESS IMPACTS AGAIN
RETURNING TO THE AREA.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


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