439
FLUS44 KTSA 112152
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
452 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
452 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northwest of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Through Mid Evening.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
A slight chance of storms exists across parts of northeast
Oklahoma this afternoon into mid evening with a limited severe
potential mainly northwest of Interstate 44. Locally strong winds
and a heavy rain threat are capable within any storm development.
This activity should weaken with the loss of daytime heating.

Additional storm chances increase across northeast Oklahoma and
far northwest Arkansas overnight tonight into Saturday morning as
a frontal boundary nears the Oklahoma Kansas border. Ample
amounts of moisture in place will allow for a heavy rain threat
and an increase in flash flood potentials. A Flood Watch is in
effect from Midnight to early afternoon Saturday for much of
northeast Oklahoma. Severe potentials this evening are forecast to
weaken overnight tonight.

Ahead of the approaching front this afternoon, south to
southwesterly winds gusting 15 to around 25 mph will continue
across the region and then weaken this evening. Also, heat index
values of mid 90s to around 103 degrees will remain forecast into
this evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast across eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Saturday into Sunday as the
boundary remains in the region. A limited severe threat as well
as a continued heavy rain and flood threat exists both Saturday
and Sunday. Rainfall amount of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher
amounts exceeding 4 inches are forecast through Sunday night.

An active weather pattern will persist into next week with
continued daily thunderstorm chances. A limited severe weather
and heavy rain threat will also exist into next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$