Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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021
FNUS52 KILM 310652
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
252 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Mid-level trof axis will swing across the area early this morning
followed by re-enforcing dry high pressure ridging from the Great
Lakes. This will bring below normal temps Fri thru the weekend.
The center of this high will slide overhead and off the SE States
Coast Sun through early next week with a warming trend to ensue
along with isolated afternoon and evening convection possible.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is None.

NCZ105>110-312300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
252 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          81           53           83
Min/Max RH (%)        28           88           33
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  7         Lgt/Var      SE  4
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  65/0800      2000         67/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          6            5            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7000                      6000
Transport Wind (mph)  N 16                      SE  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    112000                    48000
ADI Early             80 Good      73 Good      42 Gen Good
ADI Late              117 Very Good5 Very Poor  55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       5            3            5
Max LVORI Late        1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-312300-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
252 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          81           53           84
Min/Max RH (%)        25           86           31
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  6         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  6         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  63/0800      2000         66/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          6            5            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6500                      5900
Transport Wind (mph)  N 16                      S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    104000                    59000
ADI Early             87 Good      82 Good      40 Fair
ADI Late              117 Very Good5 Very Poor  68 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            3            5
Max LVORI Late        1            5            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-312300-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
252 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          80           52           84
Min/Max RH (%)        25           82           30
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  8        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  8         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  63/0800      2000         65/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          6            5            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6200                      5500
Transport Wind (mph)  N 13                      S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    80600                     55000
ADI Early             73 Good      75 Good      33 Fair
ADI Late              110 Very Good5 Very Poor  69 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        1            3            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 85 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 50 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-312300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
252 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          81           54           82
Min/Max RH (%)        27           85           36
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  N  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  6         Lgt/Var      SE  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  68/0900      1900         67/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          6            5            5
DSI                   3                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       7100                      5800
Transport Wind (mph)  N 16                      SE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    113600                    52200
ADI Early             62 Good      71 Good      49 Gen Good
ADI Late              120 Very Good5 Very Poor  57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       4            3            5
Max LVORI Late        1            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-312300-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
252 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          81           53           83
Min/Max RH (%)        26           82           33
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   N  6         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  64/0800      2000         66/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          6            6            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6700                      6300
Transport Wind (mph)  N 16                      S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    107200                    63000
ADI Early             67 Good      86 Good      49 Gen Good
ADI Late              112 Very Good5 Very Poor  74 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        1            4            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-312300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
252 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0
Precip Type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Max/Min Temp          81           53           84
Min/Max RH (%)        26           82           31
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  NE  7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   NE  7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time)  66/0900      2000         64/0900
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          6            6            5
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6100                      6000
Transport Wind (mph)  NE 13                     S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    79300                     60000
ADI Early             79 Good      65 Good      39 Fair
ADI Late              96 Good      5 Very Poor  74 Good
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4
Max LVORI Late        1            3            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...DCH