953
FXUS63 KFGF 241131
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
631 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The probability for weather impacts in the next 7 days is low.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 631 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

There is some low level clouds developing in West Central
Minnesota where there were showers early this morning. The skies
will gradually clear through the day as the trough moves out of
the Northern Plains.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 340 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...Synopsis...

An upper level trough moves through the Northern Plains and
dives southeast into the central plains and then moving into the
Appalachian territories. This creates an amplified ridging
pattern over the Northern Plains for the remainder of the week
giving us above average temperatures starting Wednesday.

The upper level trough departs today and starts to dive southeast
through Minnesota and cuts off from the flow over the Central
Plains. This creates a blocking pattern for the US and leaves the
Northern Plains in an amplified ridging pattern. Starting Wednesday,
warm temperatures will start to advect into the region giving us
above normal temperatures. With the area of high pressure over us
(the amplified ridge)we will likely get pretty cool at night due to
clearer skies and efficient cooling. However, looking at the
ensembles dewpoint dont look to get cold enough for frost
development. With the cutoff Low to our southeast our moisture feed
that common with a ridging pattern will probably be disrupted
leaving us pretty dry for the next few days. With the potential for
some breezy winds, fire weather concerns will be something to
monitoring for the rest of the week. Especially since the models
already have the RH values in the 30`s and 40`s through Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 631 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024

There are some low level clouds that might spread northward to
KBJI and temporarily place them in IFR conditions for the
morning if that does happens. Otherwise VFR conditions and
westerly winds this morning with a northwest wind in the
afternoon. Skies will gradually clear throughout the day and
should become completely clear by 00z.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...MM
DISCUSSION...MM
AVIATION...MM