648
FXUS63 KFGF 092325
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
625 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

Very warm temperatures are expected Saturday, followed by a strong
cold front on Sunday. Rain chances are in the forecast Sunday into
Monday, with additional chances later next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 328 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

...Synopsis...

Troughing continues to develop across the Pacific Northwest this
evening and overnight, along with a strengthening ridge across the
eastern CONUS. As we head into Saturday and Sunday, this pattern
amplifies, bringing continued strong warm air advection into the
area tonight into Saturday. Temperatures could approach records
across the southern Red River Valley, with afternoon highs in the
mid to upper 80s. Further north, widespread 70s to low 80s are
likely. An H5 trough will shift east late Saturday into Sunday
morning, ushering a cold front into the area. Rain chances are in
the forecast Sunday into Monday as this front traverses the region,
which will accompany much cooler temperatures. Highs on Sunday are
most likely to occur at midnight for areas in eastern North Dakota
and northwest Minnesota, with temperatures falling as the day
progresses. Locations in west central Minnesota should see another
relatively warm day before the front pushes through heading into
Sunday evening.

Rain chances will increase once more heading into mid week as
another system brings moisture into the Northern Plains and Upper
Midwest. Ensemble spread is still somewhat large at this time, with
a wide range of potential QPF Wednesday through Friday. There is,
however, relatively good agreement that most of the area will see
measurable precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 625 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Gusts have largely dropped across the region with sustained
speeds of 10-15kts remaining for the night. Low level wind
shear, upwards of 35-40 knots, is expected for all sites through
midnight with some sites as late as 10-12z. For KBJI, MVFR to
IFR cloud cover remains possible during the late overnight and
into Saturday morning.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Lynch
AVIATION...TT