355
FXUS63 KICT 020629
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
129 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mostly above average temperatures likely through Friday or Saturday,
  with a potential cool down by next Saturday or Sunday.

- Low to no precipitation chances the next 7-10 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 127 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

PRECIPITATION CHANCES:

An extended period of dry weather is expected through at least
Thursday, as upper ridging builds in from the west. For Thursday
night, GFS/ECMWF/Canadian consensus loosely supports the potential
for increasing rain chances over far eastern Kansas and points
eastward, as a fleet-footed shortwave progresses east across Mid-
America. However, given only modest forcing and meager moisture,
thinking chances will be higher east of the forecast area.

TEMPERATURES:

After a chilly start this morning, high pressure progressing east of
the area along with strengthening southerly winds and building
atmospheric thickness will support warmer temperatures by this
afternoon, especially west of the Flint Hills, where highs should
reach the 60s.

For this upcoming week, periodic weak cold frontal passages are
expected, as a train of fleet-footed low-amplitude shortwaves
progress across the northern CONUS, but a Pacific source region in
wake of these fronts will likely prevent big cool downs.
Consequently, an extended period of mostly above average
temperatures is expected through at least Friday or Saturday, due to
above average atmospheric thickness. Daytime highs in the 60s-70s
look probable, with overnight lows mostly in the 40s to low 50s.

As we head into next Saturday or Sunday, deterministic consensus
supports the potential for a higher amplitude trough digging across
the central and eastern CONUS, which could envelop the region in a
more bonifide cool down by Sunday, but even then daytime highs may
only cool into the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1100 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at all sites through the end of the
period. Light south winds tonight will gradually strengthen by
mid-morning, with sustained speeds in the 12-17 kt range and
gusts up to 25 kts possible by afternoon in central KS. Gusts
will quickly die down after sunset with speeds around 10 kts.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning until 8 AM CDT this morning for KSZ052-053-
068>072-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...JWK