135
FXUS63 KICT 062333
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
533 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold front moving through tonight, bringing much colder
  temperatures for Sunday.

- Warming trend starting Monday with well above normal
  temperatures expected on Tuesday.

- Mostly dry conditions are expected to continue through mid
  next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 339 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

At the surface, low pressure sits over the Nebraska/South Dakota
border with heavy snow falling north and east of the low. In
our area, breezy southerly winds persist with gusts up to 30 mph
in central KS. Low clouds and patchy fog continue to linger in
southeast KS, though the fog will likely diminish as we move
towards this evening. Tonight, the surface low will move
southeast towards northeast KS and into eastern MO/southern IL
by Sunday morning. Given southerly surface winds will continue
to advect higher dewpoints into south-central and southeast KS
tonight, low clouds and fog are likely to develop. The window
for fog would be brief as the surface low will push a cold front
through the area, bringing colder and drier air by early Sunday
morning. Northerly winds will be breezy Sunday morning, slowly
diminishing from west to east as we move into Sunday afternoon
and the tighter pressure gradient moves east/southeast from our
area. High temperatures will be 10-15 degrees below normal with
highs in the mid to upper 30s on Sunday afternoon.

On Sunday night, northwesterly flow aloft will return to our area as
upper-level ridging persists over the western CONUS. A warming trend
will start on Monday as close to normal temperatures return. Highs
will range from the the lower 40s in southeast KS to the lower 50s
in central KS. A surface low will move across ND on Tuesday
afternoon as a strong upper-level shortwave moves into the Northern
Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley by late Tuesday afternoon. This will
increase southerly/southwesterly winds, aiding in well above normal
temperatures for Tuesday. Highs will range from the upper 50s in
southeast KS to the lower 60s in central KS, which is about 10-15
degrees above normal.

The northwesterly flow aloft over the Central Plains will generally
persist through the upcoming work week, resulting in multiple
shortwaves and clipper-like systems. Discrepancies in model guidance
start to increase late in the work week, increasing uncertainty. The
GFS is notably stronger with the upper-level shortwaves than the
ECMWF, resulting in a stronger surface trough over the Plains.
Precipitation chances will remain very low for the end of the work
week with below normal temperatures likely on Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 527 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

MVFR and occasional IFR conditions expected to continue at CNU
this evening and into the overnight due to fog/mist and low
cigs. Elsewhere, southerly winds will turn northwesterly between
02-07Z behind a cold front. Breezy conditions with gusts to 25
knots are then expected through around 18Z with MVFR cigs. Winds
will diminish to around 10 knots with lifting ceilings between
18-00Z.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...GC
AVIATION...AMD