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000
FXUS65 KVEF 291131 CCA
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
100 AM PDT Mon May 29 2023

.SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions with breezy south winds continue through
the week for most of the area. Shower and storm chances will be
largely confined to our far northwestern areas until Thursday and
Friday, when precipitation chances shift east to Lincoln County as
well. Temperatures remain near or just below normal through the
week.
&&

.SHORT TERM...Through Memorial Day.

Upper low presently near the S.F Bay area progged to move little
over the next 24 hours staying just off the central California
coast. Ample moisture along the central/northern Sierra Nevada,
instability and diffluence aloft will help ignite showers and
thunderstorms across far northern Inyo and Esmeralda Counties this
afternoon and evening.

Southerly breezes will increase by late morning, peak in the
afternoon before diminishing in the evening hours. Gusts will likely
peak between 25-35 mph. Those winds will kick up 1-2 foot waves on
the local lakes, so use caution if you plan to be on the open water.
Also, enjoy the near normal temperatures!

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Sunday.

The overall weather pattern changes little during the long term
period with a general tendency for weak troughing to persist across
the Southwest. A weak shortwave will move through early in the week
followed by an additional trough slated for mid to late week. These
weather systems will keep upper level temperatures on the cool side
and when combined with some limited moisture persisting in the area,
daily shower and thunderstorm chances will continue, mainly across
our far northern zones. With the trough overhead late in the week,
precipitation chances are the most widespread, but still primarily
confined to the southern Great Basin. Otherwise, temperatures will
remain a few degree shy of daily average with continued southerly
breezes.  By next weekend, hints at shortwave ridging suggest
temperatures may return closer to normal as we begin the first full
week of June.
&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...Winds will be the main concern again
today and Tuesday. Similar to Sunday, winds are expected to start
off easterly in the mornings before veering to southeasterly, but it
appears that the wind direction will get stuck in the 150-170 range
both days before finally veering beyond 180 in the late afternoons
or early evenings. No operationally significant clouds or weather
expected.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...Southerly winds gusting 20 to 30 knots will continue
over much of the region through Tuesday, with the typical gusty
westerly winds in the Barstow area. Thunderstorm chances will
continue over the Sierra and White Mountains in Inyo and western
Esmeralda counties both days. Elsewhere, no operationally
significant clouds or weather expected.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Pierce
LONG TERM...Outler
AVIATION...Morgan

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