Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 290949
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
449 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

...updated aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

A warm front will lift northward today across western Kansas. The net
result is warmer highs today with around 90F near Elkhart to lower
to mid 80s across the eastern zones. A lee trough will continue to
deepen through the day, which will result in breezy SE/S winds. The
strongest winds will be between late morning to late afternoon in association
with diurnal mixing and momentum transfer. A couple of clouds will
also drift by, mainly during the first half of the daytime period.
For tonight, a light southerly wind will continue. Overnight minimums
will continue to be on the mild side - around 60F. Precip is not expected
during the short term period.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

Summer is here to stay Saturday onward. Expect highs in the 90s to prevail
through the extended period. This is a result of a 591 dam anticyclone
setting up shop right over Kansas. This will keep thunderstorms out
of the forecast and highs well into the 90s. The hottest period still
looks to be during the Monday/Tuesday period. The warmer trend in the
highs continues, which makes sense given that the ridge will be right
over us through much of the extended period. The typical Summer-time
pattern of highs in the 90s, lows in the upper 60s to around 70F, and
breezy southerly winds looks to continue ad nauseam. A slight weather
pattern change may occur next Thursday. If the ridge retrogrades a
bit across the SW United States, then perhaps an isolated storm may
be possible on the periphery of the ridge axis. Regardless, significant
thunderstorm chances are not expected anytime soon.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 500 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

VFR will prevail through TAF pd. Lee troughing will continue with
SE/S winds increasing via mixing 15-25 kt during the daytime.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  85  59  92  63 /   0   0   0  10
GCK  86  59  93  63 /  10   0   0  10
EHA  91  62  94  65 /  20   0   0  10
LBL  89  62  96  64 /   0   0   0  10
HYS  82  58  87  61 /   0   0   0  10
P28  83  59  90  61 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden



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