085
FXUS65 KTWC 122033
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
133 PM MST Sun May 12 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

Continued warm and dry conditions for the foreseeable future.
Low elevation daytime highs will be in the low to mid 90s through
the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

An absolutely beautiful day across Southern AZ today, albeit a
little breezy in some locations.

Not much in the way of major weather impacts this week across the
region, as we are under the influence of a weak upper level
trough. This will begin to give way to ridging tomorrow, building
heights and warming things up by a few degrees.

Cluster analysis isn`t quite the slam dunk as far as agreement is
concerned, so with this forecast package we`ve kept with the trend
of avoiding triple digits for a little while longer. Heat risk
should remain minor this week, but be mindful of those vulnerable
populations as we start to transition into the upper 90s by next
weekend.

There will be general afternoon breeziness, mainly across the
eastern zones from Wednesday onward.


&&

.AVIATION...

Valid through 14/00Z. Skies SKC through the valid forecast
period. SFC winds winds will be around 10 kts out of the
west/northwest with some occasional gusts to around 25 kts.
Diurnal trends will kick in later this afternoon.  Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Single digit Min RH values with general afternoon breezy
conditions may result in brief moments of near critical fire
weather conditions in the eastern zones for the remainder of
today.

For the rest of the upcoming week, expecting a consistent warm up
with daily highs in the low to mid 90s, with Saturday and Sunday
being the hottest days. Min RH values will be in the 5-10% range.
Afternoon winds will be gusty at times from Wednesday onward,
mainly east of Tucson.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Public...Singer
Aviation...Strongman
Fire Weather....Singer

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