Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
834 FNUS52 KILM 211254 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 854 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure will shift offshore mid week bringing warmer temperatures and moister conditions later in the week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is High. NCZ105>110-220500- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 854 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 82 57 87 Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 44 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0800 2000 71/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 5 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5600 Transport Wind (mph) E 10 N 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 44800 ADI Early 39 Fair 34 Fair 22 Fair ADI Late 49 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 9 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 2 Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 6 Fog 2 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-220500- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 854 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 83 57 87 Min/Max RH (%) 42 100 41 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0900 2000 73/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 5 5 5 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5900 Transport Wind (mph) E 7 SW 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800 53100 ADI Early 50 Gen Good 38 Fair 23 Fair ADI Late 58 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 1 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7 Turner Stability A E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-220500- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 854 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 83 58 87 Min/Max RH (%) 46 100 42 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 2000 73/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 5 5 5 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5600 Transport Wind (mph) E 10 SE 7 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 39200 ADI Early 58 Gen Good 33 Fair 22 Fair ADI Late 61 Good 4 Very Poor 43 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 6 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 2 Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 6 Fog 1 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7 Turner Stability B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220500- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 854 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024 Today Tonight Wed Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 84 57 87 Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 40 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0900 2000 73/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 5 5 5 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 5800 Transport Wind (mph) E 7 S 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41300 46400 ADI Early 57 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 25 Fair ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 5 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 0 Fog Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$