Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
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131 FXUS64 KMEG 281136 AAA AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Memphis TN 636 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Portions of the Mid-South could see areas of patchy fog over the next couple of nights. Rain chances are possible on Wednesday, with even greater precipitation chances starting late this week lasting into the early part of next week. High temperatures will be near 80 degrees for most of this week with temperatures warming into the mid 80s by the early part of next week. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Monday) Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Clear skies and calm winds will continue to promote radiational cooling as some sites across the Mid-South have reported reduced visibilities. Overnight water vapor analysis places an area of broad ridging across the western half of the country and an area of broad troughing over the eastern portions of the CONUS, with the Mid- South in a northwesterly flow regime. Mid-level ridging is expected to build in across the region, as the troughing over the eastern US gradually breaks down and departs. Precipitation chances across the Mid-South will increase on Wednesday as a shortwave trough, embedded within the approaching ridge, moves toward the Mid-South from Oklahoma. Greater precipitation chances look to affect the region starting late this week potentially lasting through early next week, as multiple mid-level disturbances move through the region. High temperatures are expected to be near 80 degrees through the remainder of the week. A warming trend is expected to start early next week as temperatures warm into the mid to upper 80s. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 635 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 VFR will prevail through the next 30 hours, under west-northwest flow aloft. A late morning bump in surface winds will arrive as the mixing layer deepens. Based on area VAD wind profilers, late morning/early afternoon wind speeds should average 10KT or less. PWB && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...JPR AVIATION...PWB