522
FXUS64 KOUN 131715
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 205 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Mid-level heights will gradually increase today over the southern
Plains as a closed low moves into the Pacific Southwest, pushing
a mid-level high eastward. Another warm day for us is in store
with most locations in the 90s, and around 100 F across northern
Oklahoma. Decaying thunderstorms are possible across portions of
western and northern Oklahoma Thursday evening. The main hazards
with any stronger storm will be damaging winds and large hail.
Mostly clear skies overnight will help temperatures recover into
the low 70s.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 205 AM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Warm temperatures will continue through the middle parts of next
week and as the aforementioned ridge moves off to the east and
then gets blocked across the eastern CONUS over the weekend and
into next week. A shortwave trough is expected to move in on
Saturday and Sunday, bringing at least low chances of showers and
thunderstorms across the northern portions of Oklahoma. Beyond
Sunday, it looks like we will stay dry and warm.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Rather uniform southerly to south-southwesterly winds are expected
throughout the TAF period. Those will peak this afternoon with
many sites seeing 15+ knots sustained, and then most sites will
drop near or below 10 knots tonight and remain that way through
midday tomorrow. Skies will be VFR uniformly with the potential
exception of northwest/northern Oklahoma this evening, where a
cluster of storms may impact the area between about 0Z and 04Z.
Gusty winds and reduced ceilings/visibilities are possible.

Meister

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  95  72  93 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         70  97  72  95 /   0   0   0  10
Wichita Falls TX  70  95  71  94 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           69  99  70  94 /  20   0  20  20
Ponca City OK     72  96  72  95 /  20   0  10   0
Durant OK         69  94  69  95 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...04