507
FXUS62 KFFC 210815
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
315 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 252 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025

 - Above-normal temperatures will continue through the middle of
   next week. A few record highs may be met or broken over the
   coming days at our four main climate sites.

 - A few rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected through
   midweek next week, but it is unlikely that meaningful drought
   improvement will occur.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 252 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025

With benign, quasi-zonal flow taking up residence across the
Southeast at the mid-levels, the primary catalyst for our sensible
weather to round off the week and enter the weekend will be a
surface low pressure system passing just to our north. Light showers
are ongoing across far northeast Georgia at the time of writing of
this discussion, and will continue to taper off through daybreak.
Owing to increased mid-to-upper level cloud cover, expect coverage
of dense fog to be more patchy and transient in nature than was
observed yesterday. Areas under clearer skies -- generally to the
south of the Metro -- may still experience decreased visibility down
to 1 mile or less at times in fog, and caution should be taken on
the morning commute.

Much of the morning and early afternoon is likely to remain dry
across north and central Georgia, with showers beginning to
overspread the area from west to east again by mid-afternoon.
Isolated embedded thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon,
with chances increasing after dark (owing to bolstered-but-still-
meager instability for areas in closer proximity to the parent low
trekking across the Tennessee River Valley). As it currently stands,
not expecting much more than rumbles of thunder and frequent
lightning overnight tonight and into the day Saturday, and strong to
severe convection appears to be unlikely at this time.

Showery, dreary conditions will linger for much of the day Saturday,
with precipitation tapering off from north to south beginning mid-
afternoon. Despite fairly continuous rain chances over the 24 hour
period spanning 7PM tonight through 7PM Saturday, totals look to be
relatively light: generally less than half of an inch, with highest
totals skewed to the northwest. Areas to the south and east of Macon
may remain totally dry.

Even with increased cloud cover, our unseasonably warm November
weather will continue. Highs today and tomorrow afternoon will be in
the mid-70s to lower-80s, with Saturday morning lows in the upper-
50s to lower-60s -- as much as 14 to 19 degrees above average for
highs, and 15 to 27 (!) degrees above average for lows.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 252 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025

A weak frontal boundary will be making its way through Central GA at
the start of the long term (Saturday Night) along with any lingering
precipitation. By Sunday, high pressure will build across the
Southeast and midlevel ridge will set up over the Mid-South. This
will promote mostly dry weather and continued above normal
temperatures for both Sunday and Monday. Forecast highs will range
from the upper 60s in North GA (50s in the mountains) to upper 70s
across far south-central GA each day. Forecast morning lows will be
in the 40s and 50s. Another round of rainfall is likely prior to
Thanksgiving, mainly between Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

A more active weather pattern appears to be on the horizon for mid-
week next week with increasing rain chances by Tuesday becoming more
widespread by Wednesday. A cut off low will lift east of the
Rockies tracking across the Plains and a surface cold front will
begin to approach the area. The front is likely to stall somewhere
across North GA or just to our west before eventually pushing
through the state between Wednesday and Thursday of next week.
There`s still some degree of uncertainty among guidance regarding
rainfall totals and timing, though things should become clearer in
the coming days. Regardless, any cooldown or drier weather will
hold off until late next week following the frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025

Generally VFR conds exp into the aftn, with a period of IFR cigs
and low-VFR vsbys in FG/BR psbl from 10-14Z. Chcs for -SHRA will
begin to increase starting 20-21Z, with prevailing -SHRA likely
from 00Z thru the end of the pd. Expect low-VFR vsbys in BR and
BKN low-MVFR to IFR cigs to return as -SHRA builds in from W to E
overnight tonight. Non-zero potential for embd -TSRA after dark,
but confidence is currently too low for TAF mention. Winds will
remain out of the SW/WSW at 4-8kts.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Medium confidence ceiling progression and precipitation timing.
High confidence all other elements.

96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          79  61  77  51 /  10  50  20   0
Atlanta         77  63  75  52 /  30  60  30   0
Blairsville     72  56  69  44 /  20  70  30   0
Cartersville    78  61  76  47 /  30  70  30   0
Columbus        79  63  80  53 /  20  40  30   0
Gainesville     77  62  75  50 /  10  70  20   0
Macon           82  60  80  52 /  10  30  20   0
Rome            79  64  79  49 /  30  60  30   0
Peachtree City  77  61  76  49 /  30  60  30   0
Vidalia         84  60  81  55 /   0  10  20   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...96