649
FXUS62 KFFC 111748
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1248 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025


...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1244 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

 - The Winter Weather Advisory will end at 7 am for the NE GA
   mountains. Please continue to use caution for a few hours after
   sunrise as slippery patches may still exist, especially in more
   shaded areas.

 - A Fire Danger Statement is in effect through 6 PM for parts of
   central GA due to low relative humidities and dry fuels. Please
   use extreme caution if doing any outdoor burning.

 - Dry weather and gradually warming temperatures are expected
   through the week with any rain holding off until early next
   week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 402 AM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

Suddenly things are much quieter here in the short term forecast
after a few days of activity, even if it lead to little actual
precipitation. This morning we have some of the coldest air of the
season in place across north and central Georgia with temps well
below freezing in most places. May not quite make the forecast
overnight lows as winds have remained slightly elevated in some
locations, which is keeping the nocturnal boundary layer mixed. But
it`s still plenty cold, and we should be officially ending the
frost/freeze program for the winter season after tonight, barring a
surprise. For those who have kids in school today, keep in mind that
it`s going to be very cold out at the bus stop. Bundle up.

The other thing still in place is the Winter Weather Advisory across
the NE GA mountains. We saw some sustained snowfall in some areas
overnight. While accumulations look to have mostly played out as
expected at the higher peaks, enough moisture fell and temperatures
got cold enough to be of some concern for black ice on the roadways.
The advisory remains in effect until 7am, when the sun comes up.
Still use care if traveling for the first few hours after sunrise,
especially in shaded locations where some slippery spots may remain.

Today will start a pretty quick warming trend across north and
central Georgia. Deeply amplified upper level trough over the
eastern CONUS will quickly lift out of the area today. Core of the
surface high that has accompanied our Arctic outbreak should move
over the CWA, bringing the gusty winds to an end outside of some
boundary layer mixing. Skies should be mostly clear. Temperatures
will rise in to the upper 40s to 50s. One concern will be fire
weather conditions in central Georgia, where low relative humidities
remain overlapped with drier fuels. A Fire Danger Statement is in
effect until approximately sunset. Use extreme caution if doing any
outdoor burning. Maybe save the leaves for another day.

Will be another cold night tonight, but not nearly as cold as the
previous. Temperatures should hover near freezing in most areas by
Wednesday morning. Wednesday will see continued warming, with highs
in the 60s across everywhere but the mountains as the surface high
continues to slide south and bring winds from the southwest. Some
moisture should return with this, bringing an end to any fire
weather concerns (no precip concerns with this).

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 402 AM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

Surface high pressure in place and a building ridge to our west will
result in dry and tranquil weather conditions for North and Central
Georgia through Saturday. Our next potential for rain looks to hold
off until late weekend/early next week, though latest guidance still
has some inconsistencies in timing/extent of this next system. A
gradual warming trend is expected over the next 5-7 days. Forecast
highs in the mid 60s to low 70s on Thursday will warm to the
mid/upper 70s by Saturday. Forecast lows will follow suit, starting
off in the upper 30s to low 40s Thursday morning and returning to
the 50s by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period, with mostly
clear skies and some passing high cirrus. Winds will be W to NW
at 7-10 kts with gusts of 15-20 kts this afternoon. By 00-01Z,
winds are expected to shift to SW and diminish to 4-8 kts and
remain so into Wednesday morning. By 15-16Z on Wednesday, winds
will become W at 8-12 mph with gusts of 18-22 kts.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          47  34  62  40 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         49  37  63  43 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     42  29  56  35 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    49  34  63  38 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        52  33  67  42 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     47  36  60  40 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           52  33  67  41 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            52  35  66  39 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  50  34  65  40 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         52  34  68  43 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Lusk
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...King