Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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348 FXUS64 KOHX 061714 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1114 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1111 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 - Low to medium chances for light rain by Sunday evening with a rain/snow mix possible late Sunday night into Monday morning. No accumulations expected. - Continued below-normal temperatures through the next several days. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Sunday) Issued at 1027 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 Stratus will continue to keep us cooler than expected the next few days. We could see some clearing into the early evening, but I`m a bit uncertain on that right now and how much that would allow us to warm with the sunset being so early nowadays. Lows tonight will be in the upper 20s to low 30s. Winds will shift bringing warmer air into the mid-state that will be a bit more successful in warming us. Expect highs in the upper 40s to low 50s for Sunday. Sunday will be another overcast day, with some rain chances beginning in the evening hours. Overall, the PoPs are low to medium (20 - 50%), but amounts will be very light. It`s almost like this will be more drizzle than rain that`s how light the QPF is. Overnight into Monday morning, this rain will changeover into some snow showers thanks to a cold front. Sorry for all you snow lovers though, as no accumulations are expected. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday Night through next Saturday) Issued at 1027 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 After our dreary weekend, high pressure will attempt to build in into the beginning of the work week, driving temperatures into the 50s for highs. This story changes mid-week, as a trough is expected to dig south and bring more rain chances to Middle Tennessee. There remains some uncertainty with exact impacts of this system due to discrepancies in the guidance, so stay tuned as we refine the forecast. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1111 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 There is some uncertainty on if the low clouds scatter out for the western terminals this afternoon but satellite is showing good trends and we should see VFR conditions return to all terminals except for KCKV by 23z. There is a 30% chance MVFR cigs build back in overnight but current thinking is VFR will continue with mid- level clouds. Westerly winds up to 6 knots will become more southerly as the afternoon goes on. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 47 34 50 35 / 0 0 10 30 Clarksville 46 33 48 31 / 0 0 10 20 Crossville 43 29 48 33 / 0 0 10 40 Columbia 47 32 50 35 / 0 0 10 30 Cookeville 43 31 48 33 / 0 0 10 50 Jamestown 42 29 47 31 / 0 0 10 50 Lawrenceburg 46 32 50 36 / 0 0 10 30 Murfreesboro 45 31 49 35 / 0 0 10 30 Waverly 45 33 49 31 / 0 0 10 20 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....Mueller