Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FXUS62 KCAE 222337
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
737 PM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNSET...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHWEST. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...A DRY AIR MASS...AND LIGHT
WINDS...GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST WHICH WILL
BRING SOME OF THE COLDER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON.
READINGS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S WILL BE COMMON BY SUNRISE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER AND SURFACE LOWS TO OUR NE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NE
WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO OUR REGION. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE. BEST CHANCE FOR LIGHT WINDS AND GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS APPEARS WILL TAKE PLACE THU NT/EARLY FRI
MORNING...WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY
COLDER LOCATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPPER TROUGHINESS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST...PROVIDING A
CONTINUED DRY NW FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DRY REINFORCING FRONT EXPECTED
TO COME LATE SAT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER DRY HIGH PRESSURE AIR MASS
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT
RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST EXTENDING INTO THE AREA. WILL
CONTINUE DRY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO CALM
OVERNIGHT AND WILL BACK TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY BY LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AT AROUND 5 TO 7 KNOTS. NO EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPMENT
ANTICIPATED DUE TO DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AND A 20
KNOT NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET AT AROUND 1000 FEET.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$






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