Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
FXUS63 KEAX 080502
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1202 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2015
Issued at 244 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2015
Quiet weather will continue to prevail through midday tomorrow with
perhaps some additional LL stratus overnight. Have precluded mention
of fog for tonight as cloud cover should keep widespread formation at
bay, but isn`t entirely off the table come the pre-dawn hours in
prone locations should the right conditions come together. As
Thursday evening approaches, so will a cold front from the north,
sliding across the region tomorrow night. Ahead and along the front,
showers with perhaps some embedded thunderstorms are anticipated to
develop with just slight chance PoPs in the forecast for northern MO
in the afternoon. As a shortwave trough gives the surface front a bit
of a boost tomorrow night, PoP chances increase, particularly in the
southern two-thirds of the forecast area. Instability will be lacking
with this fropa so have remained conservative on the thunder mention.
Once the front clears the area and the lingering showers goes with
it, look for clearing conditions from north to south early Friday.
From this weekend onward, look for quiet weather conditions to return
to the area.
Temperatures tomorrow will warm a few more degrees than today,
reaching near and into the lower 80s area wide. Behind the front,
look for much cooler temps, dropping back off into the mid to upper
60s on Friday and dipping down into the mid 40s Friday night.
Southerly flow will quickly return with 70s entering back in on
Saturday and another warm-up on Sunday, with highs well above normal
for this time of year. For next week, temps should moderate, settling
into the 70s for daytime highs.
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2015
VFR conditions expected most of the period, with clouds and slightly
higher winds expected to keep fog at bay overnight (aside from
perhaps STJ and other river valley locations). Cold front moving
through around 00Z could bring isolated to scattered thunderstorms,
but coverage may not be enough to affect all terminals.