Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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730
FXUS63 KEAX 050949
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
349 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 347 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

Very little change to the going forecast philosophy, with overall
quiet weather on the horizon. Two shortwave troughs will be featured
over the next few days, but with limited moisture, little in the way
of sensible weather will be noted for the area. Mid/high clouds will
steadily increase during the day with readings warming into the
middle 30s to middle 40s. The first disturbance arrives overnight
and besides the increase in cloud cover, a few sprinkles cannot be
completely ruled out. Downglide quickly clears out cloud cover as
system departs on Saturday, with a continued mild weekend on tap for
the weekend. The second disturbance arrives Sunday/Monday, with
slightly more notable weather. A strengthening pressure gradient
will allow for gusty northwesterly winds on Sunday. Enough dynamics
and low-level moisture may allow for light precipitation in the
form of snow over the eastern two-thirds of the CWA. Much colder air
will advect into the area as the pattern becomes much more amplified
heading into early next week before readings gradually moderate to
near normal levels by the middle of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1112 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

VFR conditions will likely persist through much of the next 24
hours. Winds will back to the southeast overnight before turning to
the west again Friday evening. Otherwise, the wind shift Friday
evening will see some lower clouds move in, but that cloud cover is
expected to be in the VFR range through the end of this TAF cycle.


&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Blair
AVIATION...Cutter



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