Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 061801
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1201 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 404 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

Shortwave trough is departing the CWA with the only notable effects
being a few light echoes on the radar over west central Missouri.
Shortwave ridging moves into the area today into Sunday with
generally mild temperatures with afternoon readings in the middle
40s to near 50. Next upper disturbance quickly arrives on Sunday and
evolves/amplifies into a large upper trough over the central and
eastern US. Increasing ascent combined with limited moisture should
allow for scattered flurries or light snow Sunday night into Monday,
mainly across portions of Missouri. With much colder air advecting
into the area, vertical temperature profile will support mainly
snow. Little to no accumulation is expected, with the highest
potential accumulations regulated to northeast Missouri where a few
tenths of an inch are possible. Otherwise, with a strengthening
pressure gradient, gusty northwest winds will be the story with
sustained wind speeds of 15-20 kts common Sunday afternoon. Winds
will be slightly stronger on Monday afternoon, and with the colder
airmass in place, the stage is set for a raw-feeling day with highs
only topping out in the middle 20s to lower 30s. Temperatures will
gradually moderate into middle to late next work week, reaching near
normal levels. The extended forecast through Tuesday through Saturday
looks dry at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1200 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

VFR conditions expected through the forecast with the only
significant weather being a wind shift and increasing winds behind
that wind shift late in the forecast. For now, it looks like the
front will move through the terminals in the 14Z to 17Z window. Winds
will shift to the west to northwest and increase to the 15 to 20 kt
range behind the front. It will also become quite gusty behind the
front with gusts potentially in the 25 to 30 kt range.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Blair
AVIATION...CDB


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